Full list of Week 3 straight-up picks with confidence levels

The 2024 NFL season has two weeks under its belt and it has been a wild one. Each week has seen the biggest betting favorite get knocked off at home, with the Bengals losing to the Patriots in Week 1 and the Ravens losing to the Raiders in Week 2. Beware as you make your Survivor picks this week!

The start of Week 3 means it is time once again for confidence picks. I predict the winner of every game on the schedule and then attach a confidence level to each pick. The levels are high, medium, and low.

With 32 games completed, I’m 13-2 with my medium confidence picks, but just 2-4 with high confidence picks and 5-6 with low confidence picks. Last week, I was 9-7 overall, including an ugly 1-3 mark on my high confidence picks. The Cowboys, 49ers, and Ravens all did me dirty!

Here’s my full list of picks for Week 3. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicates a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win. I’m digging deep with five underdogs pulling outright upsets, so we’ll see how badly that goes for me.

High confidence (2-4)

Browns over Giants
Buccaneers over Broncos
Chiefs over Falcons

Medium confidence (13-2)

Jets over Patriots
Texans over Vikings
Steelers over Chargers
Raiders over Panthers
Seahawks over Dolphins
Cardinals over Lions***
49ers over Rams
Bills over Jaguars
Bengals over Commanders