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Kate Madden Gave Us a 101 in Undereye Liner on Red Carpet With Nicole Richie

Kate Madden Gave Us a 101 in Undereye Liner on Red Carpet With Nicole Richie

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Kate Madden is definitely following in her mom’s footsteps.

Madden, the eldest child of actor and fashion designer Nicole Richie and Good Charlotte frontman Joel Madden, was her mom’s date to the Stop! That! Train! premiere in Los Angeles on May 18 and we can already tell she’s going to be a style icon just like her parents.

While Richie’s style leans more bohemian and 1970s, Madden appears to be more into a rock ‘n roll, edgy style. The 18-year-old is all about an LBD, as you can see if you take a peek at her Instagram. For the Stop! That! Train! premiere, Madden wore yet another black mini dress, this time opting for a strapless leather or faux-leather style that hit several inches above her knees. She styled it with a pair of knee-high patent leather boots. Though the dress and boots had a punk vibe befitting the daughter of a musician, her jewelry was much more delicate; Madden wore a handful of gold bracelets layered together on one wrist, and a similar Van Cleef & Arpels pendant necklace around her neck. (Richie also wore a dark color, pairing a navy blue patterned slip gown with a matching headscarf.)

Chad Salvador/Getty Images

Madden’s glam details are also ultra trendy; she wore her jet-black hair pin straight and parted in the middle and enhanced her big, dark eyes with lots of eyeliner and mascara. She applied a white liner on the inner corner of the lower waterline in combination with the black liner on the outer corner to open up her eyes even more, and finished off the look with a rose-brown lipstick and red nails.

Richie and Joel Madden have kept their kids’ lives pretty private, but now that Kate Madden is 18, it appears that she’s ready to step into the spotlight—and if her red carpet style thus far is any indication, we’ll be copying her outfits just like the millennial generation did with her mom!



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Why MLB’s bunting boom is a mirage <div id="zephr-anchor"><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">Bunting in Major League Baseball is the ultimate tool of confirmation bias, stretching from the most anti-analytics “he’s got a great swing” truthers to those who watch baseball on a spreadsheet — all of them can love the bunt.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">Traditionalists will enjoy the old-school approach of bunting as a way to advance runners into scoring position. Some who hate the pitcher-dominant game will delight in the refusal to indulge the swing-and-miss world by just not swinging. Others, who love analytics and Moneyball, will point out <a href="https://fansided.com/mlb/mlb-teams-that-bunt-more-are-quietly-outscoring-baseballs-power-lineups">that bunting in 2026 could be the ultimate edge</a> in a world that has embraced strikeout-embracing power hitting. There’s something for everyone with the bunt.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">But is that <em>something</em> actually there? With the 2026 MLB Bunting Revolution <a href="https://go.skimresources.com/?id=1025X1734621&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fnews%2Fbunting-increasing-across-mlb-early-in-2026" rel="sponsored">very much taking place</a>, we must investigate if the success of the American League-leading Tampa Bay Rays is actually due to a statistically significant increase in bunts, or if the Buntassiance is actually a Bunt Mirage. In short: I’m team Bunt Mirage.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">First, some rudimentary statistics about bunting in our postmodern society: bunting has increased overall this year, though it would be incorrect to say teams are bunting more across the board. Plenty of MLB teams have actually been bunting <em>less </em>than in 2025, including some powerhouses like the New York Yankees, Atlanta Braves and the sport’s hottest team: the Philadelphia Phillies. All three essentially never bunt. Meanwhile, the San Diego Padres, who were the MLB’s top bunting team last year at .30 sacrifice bunts per game, have cut that down by two-thirds amid their bid to win the National League West over the Los Angeles Dodgers. It is, however, true that the Tampa Bay Rays are bunting more than any team since pitchers stopped hitting in 2021 and <a href="https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/sacrifice-hits-per-game?date=2017-11-02">the most period since the 2017 Colorado Rockies</a>.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">As of this writing, the Rays are 32-15, and hold a three game lead over the bunt-avoidant Yankees in the American League East. This has led to some discussions about if high-contact teams that skimp on power might be the next thing, and it has been heralded with much rejoicing by the bunt community. But I am supremely skeptical.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">First and foremost, <a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&hfAB=sac%5C.%5C.bunt%7C&hfGT=R%7C&hfPR=&hfZ=&hfStadium=&hfBBL=&hfNewZones=&hfPull=&hfC=&hfSea=2026%7C&hfSit=&player_type=batter&hfOuts=&home_road=&pitcher_throws=&batter_stands=&hfSA=&hfEventOuts=&hfEventRuns=&hfABSFlag=&game_date_gt=&game_date_lt=&hfMo=&hfTeam=139%7C&hfOpponent=&hfRO=&position=&hfInfield=&hfOutfield=&hfInn=&hfBBT=&hfFlag=&metric_1=&group_by=name&min_pitches=0&min_results=0&min_pas=0&sort_col=pitches&player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&sort_order=desc#results">we are talking about 17 bunts here.</a> Tampa Bay is fourth in the MLB in hits with 416, so right off the bat (pun moderately intended) we are hit with a sample size problem: any suggestion that bunts are correlated with wins relies on a problematically low number of events relative to other data we could be using. Saying “bunting” is why the Tampa Bay Rays are winning is like saying you and your neighbor’s lawn signs specifically swung the local school committee race. Like … maybe, but there were probably more powerful forces at work.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">Using data that is sufficiently large, the Rays simply <a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/expected_statistics?type=batter-team&year=2026&position=&team=&filterType=bip&min=q&sort=8&sortDir=desc">do not have the underlying analytics of the best team in the American League.</a> Offensively, they have the largest positive difference between expected and actual average, slugging, and contact quality. Their pitching has enjoyed similar aberrations, with the best of those expected versus actual metrics from opposing hitters save for slugging, in which they are second-best.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">That’s a mouthful, but all any of that really means is that the Rays have been hitting far better and their opponents have been hitting far worse than the data suggests they should be. In short, they’ve been lucky with whatever cosmic, intergalactic soup controls how baseballs fly on any given day. None of those metrics are influenced significantly by their 17 sacrifice bunts, which do not actually count against the hitters on base percentage for some completely unknown reason.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">As for bunting itself, I’m not breaking new ground here when I tell you that bunting is almost-always bad for your baseball team. <a href="https://sites.northwestern.edu/nusportsanalytics/2021/04/02/is-the-bunt-dying/">Using fancy-schmancy, albeit a tad-outmoded run-expectancy metrics</a>, we find that all but the most specific sacrifice bunts reduce your chances of scoring runs. When <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5AGY0Y1OiF4">Brad Pitt said “no bunting whatsoever” in <em>Moneyball</em></a>, that’s what he was talking about.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">Using slightly more in-moded win probability metrics and this wonderful thing call the <a href="http://baseballsavant.com">Game Strategy explorer on BaseballSavant.com</a>, we discover that there are sacrifice bunts that increase your win probability, but only <em>hyper </em>specific ones: if there is a runner on second with zero outs and the game is tied in the bottom of the 8th, top of the 9th, bottom of the ninth or bottom of the 10th inning, a sacrifice bunt increases your probability of winning. That is <em>it. </em>It is literally never good when you are winning, it is literally never good if you are losing, it is literally never good anytime before the 8th inning or with more than zero outs, heck it is literally never good when the game is tied in the top of 10th inning. And all of that <em>still</em> implies that the bunt is successful, which is by no means a guarantee. Are you starting to see where I’m coming from?</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">Most notably, the beloved “bunt with a man on first with no outs” is never a good idea <em>under any circumstances</em>, but I think it’s better to unpack this one intuitively rather than just tell you it’s bad. Why would a manager bunt with a man on first? Because it puts a runner in scoring position roughly 65 percent of the time (the success rate of your average sac bunt attempt). Seems good right? Sure, but that also implies there is a radically better chance of getting an RBI hit in the next at bat rather than the current one, often why you see nine-hole hitters bunt to bring up the top of the order.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">And perhaps there is, under extremely specific circumstances, an opportunity to raise your chances of an RBI hit by five to eight percent by bringing up a hitter with a better batting average. But it does not raise your chances of <em>scoring a run, </em>just that of an RBI hit in the next at-bat. And that is not, under any circumstances, worth an entire out. Bunting with a man on first with no outs is an effort by managers to control a game that often feels like a progression of random events. But no data or intuitive explanation supports that strategy.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">Much has been written about <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/a-time-to-slug-and-a-time-to-bunt/">the specific situations when bunting is good</a> (tied, man on second, no outs, late innings), but just because those situations exist does not mean bunting is broadly a good strategy. In the big picture, laying down these ultra-specific bunts is too rare an occurrence to suggest they are the reasons for wins and losses. It’s just too small a data set and too specific an ask.</p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">I concede that the Rays are constructed basically to ignore power hitting in favor of making contact to keep runners moving, but I do not concede that has anything to do with bunting now being a good idea. The argument for bunting put forth by <a href="https://go.skimresources.com/?id=1025X1734621&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.mlb.com%2Fnews%2Fbunting-increasing-across-mlb-early-in-2026" rel="sponsored">Rays Manager Kevin Cash that “hitting is (bad word) hard” </a>does not mean bunting has somehow gotten easier — sac bunt success rates <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/a-time-to-slug-and-a-time-to-bunt/">has improved since pitchers stopped hitting, but only marginally. </a></p></div><div class="duet--article--article-body-component"><p class="duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1">There are specific instances when bunting is good, but I do not believe those instances are common enough nor statistically significant to suggest that <em>bunting </em>is somehow the great edge in Major League Baseball and everyone needs to follow the Rays to bunting Valhalla. It can be surprising and even effective if it results in a bunt-hit, but the skill set required to do that is so rare and esoteric that it is never worthwhile to invest in. I’d rather my hitters just swing the bat, which is cooler, more exciting and, wonderfully, just analytically better.</p></div></div> #MLBs #bunting #boom #mirage

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