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Best DFS picks for Raiders at Broncos in Week 10

Best DFS picks for Raiders at Broncos in Week 10

Week 10 of the 2025 NFL season kicks off tonight with an AFC West rivalry featuring the Las Vegas Raiders visiting the Denver Broncos. Denver enters as a 9.5-point home favorite, with an over/under of 42.5. The Broncos are looking to maintain their lead atop the division while the Raiders are looking to bounce back after falling short in their overtime loss to the Jaguars this past Sunday.

Below, we will take a look at the best DFS plays for this Thursday night showdown.

Bo Nix, QB, Denver Broncos (FLEX $13,800, CPT $20,700)

It hasn’t always been pretty, but Nix has been getting the job done this season and has a chance to run the Broncos’ win streak up to seven this evening. The second-year quarterback is averaging roughly 21 fantasy points per game in DFS and his 17 passing touchdowns is tied for the third most in the league heading into Week 10. That can be attributed to his sheer volume of throws as he ranks sixth in the NFL with 35.8 pass attempts per game.

Nix’s running ability has also boosted his fantasy value this season as he is one of just nine QB’s with over 200 rushing yards for the year. The Raiders are a middle of the road team when it comes to defending the run against opposing QB’s this season, so there is a chance that the Broncos’ signal-caller could get loose on a few plays tonight.

Brock Bowers, TE, Las Vegas Raiders (FLEX $12,000, CPT $18,000)

Oh hey, Bowers is back from his knee injury and he casually caught 12 targets for 127 yards and three touchdowns in the Raiders’ overtime loss to the Jaguars on Sunday. No big deal. After a month-long hiatus, the second-year All-Pro just casually resumed his dominance upon his return and gave an immediately jolt to the Raiders offense. And with the team dealing Jakobi Meyers ahead of Tuesday’s trade deadline, he may be in line for even more targets.

Yeah, Bowers as a potential captain’s option is a no-brainer here, even against a tough Denver defense.

J.K. Dobbins, RB, Denver Broncos (FLEX $10,600, CPT $15,900)

Dobbins has been a central figure of the Broncos’ offense all season long and contributed 61 rushing yards in their 18-15 victory over the Texans this past Sunday. The veteran back has just been all around solid and enters tonight’s matchup ranked sixth in the NFL in total carries with 135 and fifth in the NFL in rushing yards with 695.

He’s certainly making good use of all the touches he gets every week as he ranks in the top 10 in metrics like rushing EPA, yards per carry, success rate, and explosive run rate. That means you’re more often than not in good hands with Dobbins in your lineup and he’s worthy of captain consideration.

R.J. Harvey, RB, Denver Broncos (FLEX $7,600, CPT $11,400)

While Dobbins is getting most of the work out of the backfield for the Broncos, Harvey is starting carve out of a role for himself as his backup. He punched in two touchdowns in their win against the Cowboys two weeks ago and then turned five receptions into 51 yards and a touchdown against the Texans this past Sunday. The rookie is heating up and he’ll most likely get plenty of touches once again tonight.

Denver Broncos Defense (FLEX $6,800, CPT $10,200)

The Broncos’ defense has been wreaking havoc all season and enters Week 10 leading the league in sacks with 40 while yielding just 18.4 points per game. Tonight, they have a chance to really get after Raiders QB Geno Smith, who is tied for the most interceptions in the NFL this season with 11 and has a high sack rate of 7.8%. Denver can definitely come away with a turnover or two in this one.

Michael Mayer, TE, Las Vegas Raiders (FLEX $4,600, CPT $6,900)

Just because Bowers is back doesn’t mean that Mayer can’t eat as well. The Raiders No. 2 tight end is just a few weeks removed from his 50-yard, one-touchdown performance against the Titans and still got seven targets even with Bowers back in the lineup this past Sunday. And with Jakobi Meyers now gone to Jacksonville, there’s a chance that Mayer could get more looks in the coming weeks. Don’t sleep on him.

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When it comes to the 2027 quarterback class, hope springs eternal. Especially after a 2026 class that produced two first-rounders in Fernando Mendoza and Ty Simpson, and a 2025 class that produced two in Cam Ward and Jaxson Dart, the NFL prayer is that the 2027 group of signal-callers is more like the 2024 version, when there were three taken with the first three picks, six in the top 12, and four legit NFL starters in Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, and Bo Nix. Even the relative stragglers (Michael Penix Jr. and J.J. McCarthy) haven’t run entirely out of road when it comes to their NFL potential.

Ostensibly, the 2027 class looks absolutely ridiculous from a tools and potential perspective. We could have Texas’ Arch Manning, Oregon’s Dante Moore, Ohio State’s Julian Sayin, Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers, Oklahoma State’s Drew Mestemaker, Notre Dame’s C.J. Carr, and Texas Tech’s Brendan Sorsby (depending on how Sorsby is affected by recent gambling allegations) all fighting to rest atop next year’s QB draft listings, and there are ways in which each one could do it. Not to mention the fact that there will be a surprise interloper who comes out of nowhere to show NFL potential.

That’s at least eight quarterbacks for NFL teams to consider next year. Of course, we also know that not every sure-thing prospect will ultimately become that even before he’s drafted; we’ve all seen the super-hyped guys fall down when they get hit without a plan.

The idea with this series is to evaluate each of the prominent future prospects with one eye on what they’ve already done, and the other on what they need to do in order to reach their ultimate ceiling. We continue the deep dive with Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, who fought to stay in school despite a 2025 season that had him as a more than credible NFL prospect.

Last season, Chambliss completed 294 of 448 passes (65.6%) for 3,934 yards (8.8 YPA), 22 touchdowns, three interceptions, and a passer rating of 106.9. He also ran the ball 130 times for 585 yards (4.5 YPA), eight touchdowns and three fumbles.

After that, Chambliss filed a lawsuit to contend the NCAA denying him an extra year of eligibility, and he won that case. Now that he has another developmental year before he tries the NFL on for size, what’s already on the ball, and what does he need to refine?

Let’s dive into the tape.

Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) against the Miami Hurricanes during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) against the Miami Hurricanes during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

One of the most interesting things about Chambliss as a smaller, inherently mobile quarterback, is that he doesn’t need to leave the pocket to hit the middle of the field. Last season, when throwing to the middle of the field (directly to the middle; not middle left or middle right), Chambliss completed 46 of 70 passes for 825 yards, eight touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 144.0.

His 44.45 EPA on such throws was the NCAA’s 11th-best (minimum 50 attempts), and it’s one of the more NFL-ready parts of his game. Teams at the next level that work their passing games over the middle of the field (or want to do so) won’t have to take leave of that notion with Chambliss as their quarterback.

Winning outside the pocket

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Mississippi Rebels moves with the ball in the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Mississippi Rebels moves with the ball in the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images)
ISI Photos via Getty Images

On throws outside the pocket last season, Chambliss completed 37 of 64 passes for 500 yards, four touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 97.1. Chambliss has a good sense of his own mechanics when he’s throwing on the move — the arm strength is enough for him to hit his targets when he has to throw off-platform, and when he rights his shoulders to the target, he’s capable of making some really nice downfield passes from a moving pocket.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 08: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels stiff-arms Jakobe Thomas #8 of the Miami Hurricanes in the first half during the CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on January 08, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 08: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels stiff-arms Jakobe Thomas #8 of the Miami Hurricanes in the first half during the CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on January 08, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)
Getty Images

Chambliss has learned to deal with pressure very well — in 2025, he completed 44 of 81 passes when disrupted for 649 yards, one touchdown, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 84.9. Chambliss’ yards per attempt average of 8.0 under pressure also tells you that he doesn’t automatically become Captain Checkdown when pressured. The aforementioned pocket movement helps him a lot in an NFL-conversant sense, and Chambliss has already served notice to defenses that if you blitz him, you will regret it.

Against five or more pass rushers last season, whether pressured or not, Chambliss completed 119 of 194 passes for 1,521 yards, 14 touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 109.9, which has higher than his passer rating of 104.7 when he wasn’t blitzed.

You don’t see THAT too often. Chambliss will be relatively ready for an NFL that now looks to test quarterbacks with all kinds of stunts, games, and line movement, and he has anther year in college to refine that mastery.

Going through progressions

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) warms up before their Vrbo Fiesta Bowl matchup against the Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, on Jan. 8, 2026.

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) warms up before their Vrbo Fiesta Bowl matchup against the Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, on Jan. 8, 2026.
Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

And while Chambliss did have the NCAA’s second-most RPO passing attempts last season with 94, behind only that Fernando Mendoza guy (who had 103 such attempts), Chambliss is similar to Mendoza in that he isn’t over-reliant on quick one-two RPO reads to get things done in the passing game.

On the kinds of throws that define the best quarterbacks at any level — the dig, corner, post, over, seam, and go routes — Chambliss completed 63 of 112 passes for 1,504 yards, eight touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 121.1, which ranked fourth in the NCAA among quarterbacks with at least 100 such attempts in the 2025 season. Chambliss can read through his second and third progressions with no problem; he won’t need his NFL coaches to break him down to the studs and start all over.

Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) runs the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) runs the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

As you would expect, Chambliss’ mobility extends to his ability to make important plays as a runner, whether on designed plays or scrambles. Overall, he ran the ball 130 times for 585 yards, eight touchdowns, and three fumbles. Chambliss had 15 designed QB draw runs last season, and he averaged 4.9 yards per play with a touchdown.

I wouldn’t necessarily want to put Chambliss in the teeth of NFL defensive lines too often as a pure runner at his size — his coaches will need to be judicious about such things — but the rushing ability is just as good by design as it is when the play breaks down.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels speaks at the press conference after the second half of CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl against Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.The Miami Hurricanes defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 31-27. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels speaks at the press conference after the second half of CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl against Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.The Miami Hurricanes defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 31-27. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)
Getty Images

  • Chambliss still needs development when it comes to the timing of his throws in the design of the route concepts — he’s not always an anticipation thrower, and that can get him into trouble. The three interceptions look nice in the box score, but there were also several turnover-worthy throws last season, where he threw late into converging coverage, and it was the luck of the draw that saved him.
  • The mechanics aren’t always consistent — Chambliss will get too cute at times when creating torque to throw, and he tries to do too much with his upper body. This “sticks” his lower body to the turf, and he (like most quarterbacks) can’t calculate the difference in direction and velocity when he does this.
  • The arm arrogance is justified, as Chambliss can throw with authority to all levels of the field, but he will also zing the ball into obvious coverage with the presumed thought that he’s above the law, so to speak. He isn’t, and it wouldn’t take too much for his interception luck to turn in 2026, and for that to become painfully obvious.
  • Chambliss doesn’t need to get outside the pocket to see the middle of the field, which is a notable attribute for any smaller quarterback, but there are times when he’ll leave the pocket when he doesn’t need to. He also doesn’t always square his shoulders to the target, which leads to other inaccuracies.
  • It’s great that Chambliss can vary his velocity and ball flight on command, but there are times when he throws fastballs when off-speed pitches are required, and vice versa.

Overall, I would have placed Chambliss high on my list of 2026 quarterback prospect list had he made himself available for the draft — most likely an early second

But I would not be at all surprised if Chambliss comes out of the 2026 season higher on the 2027 QB draft list than people may imagine at this point in time.

#season #Ole #impact #Trinidad #Chambliss #NFLreadiness">How will one more season with Ole Miss impact QB Trinidad Chambliss’ NFL-readiness?  When it comes to the 2027 quarterback class, hope springs eternal. Especially after a 2026 class that produced two first-rounders in Fernando Mendoza and Ty Simpson, and a 2025 class that produced two in Cam Ward and Jaxson Dart, the NFL prayer is that the 2027 group of signal-callers is more like the 2024 version, when there were three taken with the first three picks, six in the top 12, and four legit NFL starters in Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, and Bo Nix. Even the relative stragglers (Michael Penix Jr. and J.J. McCarthy) haven’t run entirely out of road when it comes to their NFL potential.Ostensibly, the 2027 class looks absolutely ridiculous from a tools and potential perspective. We could have Texas’ Arch Manning, Oregon’s Dante Moore, Ohio State’s Julian Sayin, Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers, Oklahoma State’s Drew Mestemaker, Notre Dame’s C.J. Carr, and Texas Tech’s Brendan Sorsby (depending on how Sorsby is affected by recent gambling allegations) all fighting to rest atop next year’s QB draft listings, and there are ways in which each one could do it. Not to mention the fact that there will be a surprise interloper who comes out of nowhere to show NFL potential.That’s at least eight quarterbacks for NFL teams to consider next year. Of course, we also know that not every sure-thing prospect will ultimately become that even before he’s drafted; we’ve all seen the super-hyped guys fall down when they get hit without a plan.The idea with this series is to evaluate each of the prominent future prospects with one eye on what they’ve already done, and the other on what they need to do in order to reach their ultimate ceiling. We continue the deep dive with Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, who fought to stay in school despite a 2025 season that had him as a more than credible NFL prospect.Last season, Chambliss completed 294 of 448 passes (65.6%) for 3,934 yards (8.8 YPA), 22 touchdowns, three interceptions, and a passer rating of 106.9. He also ran the ball 130 times for 585 yards (4.5 YPA), eight touchdowns and three fumbles.After that, Chambliss filed a lawsuit to contend the NCAA denying him an extra year of eligibility, and he won that case. Now that he has another developmental year before he tries the NFL on for size, what’s already on the ball, and what does he need to refine?Let’s dive into the tape.Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) against the Miami Hurricanes during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn ImagesOne of the most interesting things about Chambliss as a smaller, inherently mobile quarterback, is that he doesn’t need to leave the pocket to hit the middle of the field. Last season, when throwing to the middle of the field (directly to the middle; not middle left or middle right), Chambliss completed 46 of 70 passes for 825 yards, eight touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 144.0.His 44.45 EPA on such throws was the NCAA’s 11th-best (minimum 50 attempts), and it’s one of the more NFL-ready parts of his game. Teams at the next level that work their passing games over the middle of the field (or want to do so) won’t have to take leave of that notion with Chambliss as their quarterback.Winning outside the pocketGLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Mississippi Rebels moves with the ball in the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images) ISI Photos via Getty ImagesOn throws outside the pocket last season, Chambliss completed 37 of 64 passes for 500 yards, four touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 97.1. Chambliss has a good sense of his own mechanics when he’s throwing on the move — the arm strength is enough for him to hit his targets when he has to throw off-platform, and when he rights his shoulders to the target, he’s capable of making some really nice downfield passes from a moving pocket.GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 08: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels stiff-arms Jakobe Thomas #8 of the Miami Hurricanes in the first half during the CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on January 08, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images) Getty ImagesChambliss has learned to deal with pressure very well — in 2025, he completed 44 of 81 passes when disrupted for 649 yards, one touchdown, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 84.9. Chambliss’ yards per attempt average of 8.0 under pressure also tells you that he doesn’t automatically become Captain Checkdown when pressured. The aforementioned pocket movement helps him a lot in an NFL-conversant sense, and Chambliss has already served notice to defenses that if you blitz him, you will regret it.Against five or more pass rushers last season, whether pressured or not, Chambliss completed 119 of 194 passes for 1,521 yards, 14 touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 109.9, which has higher than his passer rating of 104.7 when he wasn’t blitzed.You don’t see THAT too often. Chambliss will be relatively ready for an NFL that now looks to test quarterbacks with all kinds of stunts, games, and line movement, and he has anther year in college to refine that mastery.Going through progressionsOle Miss Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) warms up before their Vrbo Fiesta Bowl matchup against the Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, on Jan. 8, 2026. Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn ImagesAnd while Chambliss did have the NCAA’s second-most RPO passing attempts last season with 94, behind only that Fernando Mendoza guy (who had 103 such attempts), Chambliss is similar to Mendoza in that he isn’t over-reliant on quick one-two RPO reads to get things done in the passing game.On the kinds of throws that define the best quarterbacks at any level — the dig, corner, post, over, seam, and go routes — Chambliss completed 63 of 112 passes for 1,504 yards, eight touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 121.1, which ranked fourth in the NCAA among quarterbacks with at least 100 such attempts in the 2025 season. Chambliss can read through his second and third progressions with no problem; he won’t need his NFL coaches to break him down to the studs and start all over.Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) runs the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images Petre Thomas-Imagn ImagesAs you would expect, Chambliss’ mobility extends to his ability to make important plays as a runner, whether on designed plays or scrambles. Overall, he ran the ball 130 times for 585 yards, eight touchdowns, and three fumbles. Chambliss had 15 designed QB draw runs last season, and he averaged 4.9 yards per play with a touchdown.I wouldn’t necessarily want to put Chambliss in the teeth of NFL defensive lines too often as a pure runner at his size — his coaches will need to be judicious about such things — but the rushing ability is just as good by design as it is when the play breaks down.GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels speaks at the press conference after the second half of CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl against Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.The Miami Hurricanes defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 31-27. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images) Getty ImagesChambliss still needs development when it comes to the timing of his throws in the design of the route concepts — he’s not always an anticipation thrower, and that can get him into trouble. The three interceptions look nice in the box score, but there were also several turnover-worthy throws last season, where he threw late into converging coverage, and it was the luck of the draw that saved him.The mechanics aren’t always consistent — Chambliss will get too cute at times when creating torque to throw, and he tries to do too much with his upper body. This “sticks” his lower body to the turf, and he (like most quarterbacks) can’t calculate the difference in direction and velocity when he does this.The arm arrogance is justified, as Chambliss can throw with authority to all levels of the field, but he will also zing the ball into obvious coverage with the presumed thought that he’s above the law, so to speak. He isn’t, and it wouldn’t take too much for his interception luck to turn in 2026, and for that to become painfully obvious.Chambliss doesn’t need to get outside the pocket to see the middle of the field, which is a notable attribute for any smaller quarterback, but there are times when he’ll leave the pocket when he doesn’t need to. He also doesn’t always square his shoulders to the target, which leads to other inaccuracies.It’s great that Chambliss can vary his velocity and ball flight on command, but there are times when he throws fastballs when off-speed pitches are required, and vice versa.Overall, I would have placed Chambliss high on my list of 2026 quarterback prospect list had he made himself available for the draft — most likely an early secondBut I would not be at all surprised if Chambliss comes out of the 2026 season higher on the 2027 QB draft list than people may imagine at this point in time.  #season #Ole #impact #Trinidad #Chambliss #NFLreadiness

filed a lawsuit to contend the NCAA denying him an extra year of eligibility, and he won that case. Now that he has another developmental year before he tries the NFL on for size, what’s already on the ball, and what does he need to refine?

Let’s dive into the tape.

Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) against the Miami Hurricanes during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) against the Miami Hurricanes during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

One of the most interesting things about Chambliss as a smaller, inherently mobile quarterback, is that he doesn’t need to leave the pocket to hit the middle of the field. Last season, when throwing to the middle of the field (directly to the middle; not middle left or middle right), Chambliss completed 46 of 70 passes for 825 yards, eight touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 144.0.

His 44.45 EPA on such throws was the NCAA’s 11th-best (minimum 50 attempts), and it’s one of the more NFL-ready parts of his game. Teams at the next level that work their passing games over the middle of the field (or want to do so) won’t have to take leave of that notion with Chambliss as their quarterback.

Winning outside the pocket

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Mississippi Rebels moves with the ball in the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Mississippi Rebels moves with the ball in the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images)
ISI Photos via Getty Images

On throws outside the pocket last season, Chambliss completed 37 of 64 passes for 500 yards, four touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 97.1. Chambliss has a good sense of his own mechanics when he’s throwing on the move — the arm strength is enough for him to hit his targets when he has to throw off-platform, and when he rights his shoulders to the target, he’s capable of making some really nice downfield passes from a moving pocket.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 08: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels stiff-arms Jakobe Thomas #8 of the Miami Hurricanes in the first half during the CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on January 08, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 08: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels stiff-arms Jakobe Thomas #8 of the Miami Hurricanes in the first half during the CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on January 08, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)
Getty Images

Chambliss has learned to deal with pressure very well — in 2025, he completed 44 of 81 passes when disrupted for 649 yards, one touchdown, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 84.9. Chambliss’ yards per attempt average of 8.0 under pressure also tells you that he doesn’t automatically become Captain Checkdown when pressured. The aforementioned pocket movement helps him a lot in an NFL-conversant sense, and Chambliss has already served notice to defenses that if you blitz him, you will regret it.

Against five or more pass rushers last season, whether pressured or not, Chambliss completed 119 of 194 passes for 1,521 yards, 14 touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 109.9, which has higher than his passer rating of 104.7 when he wasn’t blitzed.

You don’t see THAT too often. Chambliss will be relatively ready for an NFL that now looks to test quarterbacks with all kinds of stunts, games, and line movement, and he has anther year in college to refine that mastery.

Going through progressions

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) warms up before their Vrbo Fiesta Bowl matchup against the Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, on Jan. 8, 2026.

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) warms up before their Vrbo Fiesta Bowl matchup against the Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, on Jan. 8, 2026.
Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

And while Chambliss did have the NCAA’s second-most RPO passing attempts last season with 94, behind only that Fernando Mendoza guy (who had 103 such attempts), Chambliss is similar to Mendoza in that he isn’t over-reliant on quick one-two RPO reads to get things done in the passing game.

On the kinds of throws that define the best quarterbacks at any level — the dig, corner, post, over, seam, and go routes — Chambliss completed 63 of 112 passes for 1,504 yards, eight touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 121.1, which ranked fourth in the NCAA among quarterbacks with at least 100 such attempts in the 2025 season. Chambliss can read through his second and third progressions with no problem; he won’t need his NFL coaches to break him down to the studs and start all over.

Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) runs the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) runs the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

As you would expect, Chambliss’ mobility extends to his ability to make important plays as a runner, whether on designed plays or scrambles. Overall, he ran the ball 130 times for 585 yards, eight touchdowns, and three fumbles. Chambliss had 15 designed QB draw runs last season, and he averaged 4.9 yards per play with a touchdown.

I wouldn’t necessarily want to put Chambliss in the teeth of NFL defensive lines too often as a pure runner at his size — his coaches will need to be judicious about such things — but the rushing ability is just as good by design as it is when the play breaks down.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels speaks at the press conference after the second half of CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl against Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.The Miami Hurricanes defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 31-27. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels speaks at the press conference after the second half of CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl against Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.The Miami Hurricanes defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 31-27. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)
Getty Images

  • Chambliss still needs development when it comes to the timing of his throws in the design of the route concepts — he’s not always an anticipation thrower, and that can get him into trouble. The three interceptions look nice in the box score, but there were also several turnover-worthy throws last season, where he threw late into converging coverage, and it was the luck of the draw that saved him.
  • The mechanics aren’t always consistent — Chambliss will get too cute at times when creating torque to throw, and he tries to do too much with his upper body. This “sticks” his lower body to the turf, and he (like most quarterbacks) can’t calculate the difference in direction and velocity when he does this.
  • The arm arrogance is justified, as Chambliss can throw with authority to all levels of the field, but he will also zing the ball into obvious coverage with the presumed thought that he’s above the law, so to speak. He isn’t, and it wouldn’t take too much for his interception luck to turn in 2026, and for that to become painfully obvious.
  • Chambliss doesn’t need to get outside the pocket to see the middle of the field, which is a notable attribute for any smaller quarterback, but there are times when he’ll leave the pocket when he doesn’t need to. He also doesn’t always square his shoulders to the target, which leads to other inaccuracies.
  • It’s great that Chambliss can vary his velocity and ball flight on command, but there are times when he throws fastballs when off-speed pitches are required, and vice versa.

Overall, I would have placed Chambliss high on my list of 2026 quarterback prospect list had he made himself available for the draft — most likely an early second

But I would not be at all surprised if Chambliss comes out of the 2026 season higher on the 2027 QB draft list than people may imagine at this point in time.

#season #Ole #impact #Trinidad #Chambliss #NFLreadiness">How will one more season with Ole Miss impact QB Trinidad Chambliss’ NFL-readiness?

When it comes to the 2027 quarterback class, hope springs eternal. Especially after a 2026 class that produced two first-rounders in Fernando Mendoza and Ty Simpson, and a 2025 class that produced two in Cam Ward and Jaxson Dart, the NFL prayer is that the 2027 group of signal-callers is more like the 2024 version, when there were three taken with the first three picks, six in the top 12, and four legit NFL starters in Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye, and Bo Nix. Even the relative stragglers (Michael Penix Jr. and J.J. McCarthy) haven’t run entirely out of road when it comes to their NFL potential.

Ostensibly, the 2027 class looks absolutely ridiculous from a tools and potential perspective. We could have Texas’ Arch Manning, Oregon’s Dante Moore, Ohio State’s Julian Sayin, Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers, Oklahoma State’s Drew Mestemaker, Notre Dame’s C.J. Carr, and Texas Tech’s Brendan Sorsby (depending on how Sorsby is affected by recent gambling allegations) all fighting to rest atop next year’s QB draft listings, and there are ways in which each one could do it. Not to mention the fact that there will be a surprise interloper who comes out of nowhere to show NFL potential.

That’s at least eight quarterbacks for NFL teams to consider next year. Of course, we also know that not every sure-thing prospect will ultimately become that even before he’s drafted; we’ve all seen the super-hyped guys fall down when they get hit without a plan.

The idea with this series is to evaluate each of the prominent future prospects with one eye on what they’ve already done, and the other on what they need to do in order to reach their ultimate ceiling. We continue the deep dive with Ole Miss’ Trinidad Chambliss, who fought to stay in school despite a 2025 season that had him as a more than credible NFL prospect.

Last season, Chambliss completed 294 of 448 passes (65.6%) for 3,934 yards (8.8 YPA), 22 touchdowns, three interceptions, and a passer rating of 106.9. He also ran the ball 130 times for 585 yards (4.5 YPA), eight touchdowns and three fumbles.

After that, Chambliss filed a lawsuit to contend the NCAA denying him an extra year of eligibility, and he won that case. Now that he has another developmental year before he tries the NFL on for size, what’s already on the ball, and what does he need to refine?

Let’s dive into the tape.

Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) against the Miami Hurricanes during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Jan 8, 2026; Glendale, AZ, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) against the Miami Hurricanes during the 2026 Fiesta Bowl and semifinal game of the College Football Playoff at State Farm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images
Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

One of the most interesting things about Chambliss as a smaller, inherently mobile quarterback, is that he doesn’t need to leave the pocket to hit the middle of the field. Last season, when throwing to the middle of the field (directly to the middle; not middle left or middle right), Chambliss completed 46 of 70 passes for 825 yards, eight touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 144.0.

His 44.45 EPA on such throws was the NCAA’s 11th-best (minimum 50 attempts), and it’s one of the more NFL-ready parts of his game. Teams at the next level that work their passing games over the middle of the field (or want to do so) won’t have to take leave of that notion with Chambliss as their quarterback.

Winning outside the pocket

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Mississippi Rebels moves with the ball in the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Mississippi Rebels moves with the ball in the fourth quarter of the 2025 College Football Playoff Semifinal at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by Steve Limentani/ISI Photos/ISI Photos via Getty Images)
ISI Photos via Getty Images

On throws outside the pocket last season, Chambliss completed 37 of 64 passes for 500 yards, four touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 97.1. Chambliss has a good sense of his own mechanics when he’s throwing on the move — the arm strength is enough for him to hit his targets when he has to throw off-platform, and when he rights his shoulders to the target, he’s capable of making some really nice downfield passes from a moving pocket.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 08: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels stiff-arms Jakobe Thomas #8 of the Miami Hurricanes in the first half during the CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on January 08, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 08: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels stiff-arms Jakobe Thomas #8 of the Miami Hurricanes in the first half during the CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl at State Farm Stadium on January 08, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)
Getty Images

Chambliss has learned to deal with pressure very well — in 2025, he completed 44 of 81 passes when disrupted for 649 yards, one touchdown, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 84.9. Chambliss’ yards per attempt average of 8.0 under pressure also tells you that he doesn’t automatically become Captain Checkdown when pressured. The aforementioned pocket movement helps him a lot in an NFL-conversant sense, and Chambliss has already served notice to defenses that if you blitz him, you will regret it.

Against five or more pass rushers last season, whether pressured or not, Chambliss completed 119 of 194 passes for 1,521 yards, 14 touchdowns, no interceptions, and a passer rating of 109.9, which has higher than his passer rating of 104.7 when he wasn’t blitzed.

You don’t see THAT too often. Chambliss will be relatively ready for an NFL that now looks to test quarterbacks with all kinds of stunts, games, and line movement, and he has anther year in college to refine that mastery.

Going through progressions

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) warms up before their Vrbo Fiesta Bowl matchup against the Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, on Jan. 8, 2026.

Ole Miss Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) warms up before their Vrbo Fiesta Bowl matchup against the Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, on Jan. 8, 2026.
Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

And while Chambliss did have the NCAA’s second-most RPO passing attempts last season with 94, behind only that Fernando Mendoza guy (who had 103 such attempts), Chambliss is similar to Mendoza in that he isn’t over-reliant on quick one-two RPO reads to get things done in the passing game.

On the kinds of throws that define the best quarterbacks at any level — the dig, corner, post, over, seam, and go routes — Chambliss completed 63 of 112 passes for 1,504 yards, eight touchdowns, one interception, and a passer rating of 121.1, which ranked fourth in the NCAA among quarterbacks with at least 100 such attempts in the 2025 season. Chambliss can read through his second and third progressions with no problem; he won’t need his NFL coaches to break him down to the studs and start all over.

Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) runs the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

Dec 20, 2025; Oxford, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels quarterback Trinidad Chambliss (6) runs the ball during the fourth quarter against the Tulane Green Wave at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Petre Thomas-Imagn Images
Petre Thomas-Imagn Images

As you would expect, Chambliss’ mobility extends to his ability to make important plays as a runner, whether on designed plays or scrambles. Overall, he ran the ball 130 times for 585 yards, eight touchdowns, and three fumbles. Chambliss had 15 designed QB draw runs last season, and he averaged 4.9 yards per play with a touchdown.

I wouldn’t necessarily want to put Chambliss in the teeth of NFL defensive lines too often as a pure runner at his size — his coaches will need to be judicious about such things — but the rushing ability is just as good by design as it is when the play breaks down.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels speaks at the press conference after the second half of CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl against Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.The Miami Hurricanes defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 31-27. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)

GLENDALE, ARIZONA – JANUARY 8: Trinidad Chambliss #6 of the Ole Miss Rebels speaks at the press conference after the second half of CFP Semifinal Vrbo Fiesta Bowl against Miami Hurricanes at State Farm Stadium on January 8, 2026 in Glendale, Arizona.The Miami Hurricanes defeated the Ole Miss Rebels 31-27. (Photo by CFP/Getty Images)
Getty Images

  • Chambliss still needs development when it comes to the timing of his throws in the design of the route concepts — he’s not always an anticipation thrower, and that can get him into trouble. The three interceptions look nice in the box score, but there were also several turnover-worthy throws last season, where he threw late into converging coverage, and it was the luck of the draw that saved him.
  • The mechanics aren’t always consistent — Chambliss will get too cute at times when creating torque to throw, and he tries to do too much with his upper body. This “sticks” his lower body to the turf, and he (like most quarterbacks) can’t calculate the difference in direction and velocity when he does this.
  • The arm arrogance is justified, as Chambliss can throw with authority to all levels of the field, but he will also zing the ball into obvious coverage with the presumed thought that he’s above the law, so to speak. He isn’t, and it wouldn’t take too much for his interception luck to turn in 2026, and for that to become painfully obvious.
  • Chambliss doesn’t need to get outside the pocket to see the middle of the field, which is a notable attribute for any smaller quarterback, but there are times when he’ll leave the pocket when he doesn’t need to. He also doesn’t always square his shoulders to the target, which leads to other inaccuracies.
  • It’s great that Chambliss can vary his velocity and ball flight on command, but there are times when he throws fastballs when off-speed pitches are required, and vice versa.

Overall, I would have placed Chambliss high on my list of 2026 quarterback prospect list had he made himself available for the draft — most likely an early second

But I would not be at all surprised if Chambliss comes out of the 2026 season higher on the 2027 QB draft list than people may imagine at this point in time.

#season #Ole #impact #Trinidad #Chambliss #NFLreadiness

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