The No. 1 AFC seed Broncos host the Buffalo Bills in Denver this Saturday as 1.5-point underdogs. Josh Allen and company won a close game against the Jaguars in Jacksonville in the Wild Card round and now head to the mile high elevation to take on the well rested Broncos.
The Bills are slight favorites, which is a little surprising, but there is no doubt Josh Allen can elevate his team to great heights when push comes to shove. He’s not 100% healthy, but I’m sure he will play.
Below we will take a look at the best DFS plays for this Divisional round showdown.
Josh Allen, QB, Bills (FLEX $13,400, CPT $20,100)
Allen rushed for two touchdowns in the first round and that is why he is alway a strong captain’s play, even at his high price. The Broncos defense is legit, but the Jaguars defense was also pretty good. Allen can put up fantasy points at an alarming rate.
Bo Nix, QB, Broncos (FLEX $11,800, CPT $17,700)
Nix doesn’t run as often as Allen, but like Allen, he doesn’t have a receiver that we know will get a huge target percentage and he will run around the goal line. His fantasy point floor and ceiling are just so much higher than the rest of the Broncos players. And like all quarterbacks who run, the playoffs are the time to let loose and run whenever you think it might be advantageous.
James Cook, POS, Bills (FLEX $12,600, CPT $18,900)
Cook is the 2025 NFL rushing champion, but the Jaguars strong run defense allowed 46 yards on 15 carries, along with two receptions for five yards. The Broncos are similarly strong against the run, but that could keep people from using him in the captain’s spot this week. We’re looking for any kind of edge here and if you can get the rushing leader at a lower captain’s spot roster percentage than usual, I say go for it.
Jaleel McLaughlin, RB, Broncos (FLEX $4,000, CPT $6,000)
McLaughlin only saw seven touches in Week 18, but he put up 58 yards on those touches, while RJ Harvey had 16 touches for 33 yards. That doesn’t mean McLaughlin is going to all of a sudden become the lead back, but we know Sean Payton loves going with the hot hand. And, the Bills run defense is their weakness. I’m assuming McLaughlin will be a popular pick due to his price and good efficiency last week, but I don’t see any reason to fade him at this price to roster.
Pat Bryant, WR, Broncos (FLEX $3,600, CPT $5,400)
Bryant has been a much bigger part of the offense than his price to roster shows this week. He’s had 5, 3, 4, 5, and 4 receptions over his last five games and last week was second to Courtland Sutton in snap percentage. Sutton remains the most-likely No. 1 target and is worth playing, but the value for Bryant looks tremendous for their first playoff game.
Dalton Kincaid, TE, Bills (FLEX $7,600, CPT $11,400)
Kahlil Shakir is the most likely receiver to see a big target day, while Brandin Cooks has strong upside with Gabe Davis and Tyrell Shavers out. Both are a little too expensive for the “value” plays, but both are good plays.
I like Kincaid’s upside against the Broncos, especially compared to his middling price tag. Denver has a great defense, but they have allowed the 12th-most receptions and 9th-most yards to tight ends. Kincaid found the end zone last week, and I think we could see a replay this week.
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