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Analytics predicts NFL playoff winners for Wild Card Weekend

Analytics predicts NFL playoff winners for Wild Card Weekend

While a large portion of the NFL world comes to grips with John Harbaugh, Mike McDaniel, and a slew of other head coaches no longer being employed, 14 teams prepare for the NFL playoffs. The Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks await their fates as the top seeds in their respective conferences, while the other 12 teams prepare to do battle on Wild Card weekend.

The AFC, in particular, seems wide open this season with Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, and Joe Burrow missing the postseason while relative newcomers like the New England Patriots, Jacksonville Jaguars, and the (“Paper Tiger”) Broncos look to take the next steps in their development.

On the other side of the bracket, the defending Super Bowl Champion Philadelphia Eagles may not hold the top seed, but should be considered the favorite until someone knocks them off. The NFC West carried an impressive mark this season, with three teams winning 12 or more games, which leaves the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams on the road to start the playoffs.

Needless to say, there are a lot of exciting Super Bowl matchups for fans and a lot of thrilling games to come on the run-up to the big game.

Now it is time to spin everything forward from the regular season. While we are a month or so away from finding out who will hoist the Lombardi Trophy this year, each round of the playoffs promises to be exciting. Attempting to predict the results of these games, when the best are playing the best, is difficult. Bettors on FanDuel, and FanDuel itself, are looking for every morsel of information to help make their predictions.

DVOA is a metric that breaks down the quality of play compared to the league average while adjusting for the strength of the opponents being played. DVOA is one of a couple of catch-all analytics measures that help us understand the beautiful game of football better.

For the regular season, two of the top five DVOA teams didn’t even make the playoffs (Detroit Lions, Indianapolis Colts), but the two top seeds were among the top seven DVOA rankings, with the Seahawks first and the Broncos seventh.

With Wild Card weekend right around the corner, let us take a look at what it predicts for the upcoming weekend of the NFL playoffs:

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers

  • Overall DVOA: Los Angeles 2nd vs Carolina 25th
  • Offensive DVOA: Los Angeles 10th vs Carolina 25th
  • Defensive DVOA: Los Angeles 1st vs Carolina 22nd

Edge: Rams – The data and the current betting line (Rams -10.5) say that the playoffs should start with a blowout win for the visitors.

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

  • Overall DVOA: Green Bay 11th vs Chicago 16th
  • Offensive DVOA: Green Bay 6th vs Chicago 16th
  • Defensive DVOA: Green Bay 19th vs Chicago 16th

Edge: Packers – One of the things that analytics data is unable to sort out is when division opponents meet in the playoffs, a third matchup of the year. Green Bay may have the edge overall and on offense, but the Bears have Caleb Williams at quarterback, Ben Johnson designing plays, and a slightly better defense.

Buffalo Bills vs Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Overall DVOA: Buffalo 8th vs Jacksonville 6th
  • Offensive DVOA: Buffalo 4th vs Jacksonville 14th
  • Defensive DVOA: Buffalo 20th vs Jacksonville 6th

Edge: Jaguars – One team is carried by their offense, the other by their defense, in one of the most exciting matchups of Wild Card weekend. QB Josh Allen does not have a familiar postseason foe to deal with, but QB Trevor Lawrence has taken a huge step forward this season.

San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles

  • Overall DVOA: San Francisco 10th vs Philadelphia 13th
  • Offensive DVOA: San Francisco 2nd vs Philadelphia 17th
  • Defensive DVOA: San Francisco 27th vs Philadelphia 7th

Edge: Niners – FTN’s DVOA has no way of adjusting for major injuries, like the one lingering for Trent Williams, but San Fran versus Philly is another matchup of strength vs weakness on both sides of the ball, which could lead to a wild back-and-forth game.

FOXBOROUGH, MASSACHUSETTS – JANUARY 04: Drake Maye #10 of the New England Patriots celebrates after a touchdown in the first quarter against the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium on January 04, 2026 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. (Photo by Winslow Townson/Getty Images)
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Los Angeles Chargers vs New England Patriots

  • Overall DVOA: Los Angeles 17th vs New England 9th
  • Offensive DVOA: Los Angeles 21st vs New England 3rd
  • Defensive DVOA: Los Angeles 10th vs New England 23rd

Edge: Patriots – Newcomers, New England has a pretty strong overall advantage according to the data, but is only a 3.5 home favorite against the Chargers. An interesting coaching matchup between former players, can QB Drake Maye solidify his resume after a great second season, or will QB Justin Herbert get the playoff monkey off his back?

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Overall DVOA: Houston 4th vs Pittsburgh 12th
  • Offensive DVOA: Houston 19th vs Pittsburgh 16th
  • Defensive DVOA: Houston 2nd vs Pittsburgh 11th

Edge: Texans – Fans who have not watched Houston much this year might be surprised at just how high they are ranked overall in FTN’s DVOA, but that is a testament to their relentless defense. Mike Tomlin and QB Aaron Rodgers have the experience advantage and are playing at home, but their regular season produced middling results, again, for a Steelers franchise that has a long history of much higher forms of success.

DVOA provides another piece of information as you make betting decisions, discuss the playoffs with your coworkers, or while making daily fantasy decisions. We are excited to see the games played on the field and see whether or not FTN’s DVOA was able to once again perfectly predict the Wild Card round.

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GMR Sports, in partnership with Rugby India, the national governing body for the sport, announced that the second edition of the Rugby Premier League (RPL) will be held at the Gachibowli Stadium, Hyderabad, from June 16 to 28, 2026.

“We will always strive to deliver a better product for our fans, do better by our sponsors, and last but not least, be better partners for our franchises, their owners and their support staff,” Rahul Bose, President of Rugby India, said.

“RPL 2026 at the Gachibowli Stadium in Hyderabad sets out to achieve all this and more.”

Following a successful inaugural edition last year in Mumbai, the League will return in the Rugby 7s format and will feature all six franchises from the last season.

“Hyderabad’s premier sports infrastructure, excellent connectivity, and passionate fan base make it the perfect home for the league,” Satyam Trivedi, CEO, GMR Sports, said.

“One of our franchise partners is rooted in Hyderabad, underscoring the city’s pivotal role in our long-term vision for rugby in India.”

Published on Apr 06, 2026

#RPL #season #Rugby #Premier #League #played #Hyderabad #June">RPL 2026 — Second season of Rugby Premier League to be played in Hyderabad in June  GMR Sports, in partnership with Rugby India, the national governing body for the sport, announced that the second edition of the Rugby Premier League (RPL) will be held at the Gachibowli Stadium, Hyderabad, from June 16 to 28, 2026.“We will always strive to deliver a better product for our fans, do better by our sponsors, and last but not least, be better partners for our franchises, their owners and their support staff,” Rahul Bose, President of Rugby India, said.“RPL 2026 at the Gachibowli Stadium in Hyderabad sets out to achieve all this and more.”Following a successful inaugural edition last year in Mumbai, the League will return in the Rugby 7s format and will feature all six franchises from the last season.“Hyderabad’s premier sports infrastructure, excellent connectivity, and passionate fan base make it the perfect home for the league,” Satyam Trivedi, CEO, GMR Sports, said.“One of our franchise partners is rooted in Hyderabad, underscoring the city’s pivotal role in our long-term vision for rugby in India.”Published on Apr 06, 2026  #RPL #season #Rugby #Premier #League #played #Hyderabad #June

Deadspin | Hornets stay hot with 2nd-half surge past Timberwolves  Apr 5, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Julius Randle (30) drives on Charlotte Hornets forward Moussa Diabate (14) in the first quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Blewett-Imagn Images   LaMelo Ball scored 35 points on 13-for-22 shooting and the Charlotte Hornets pulled away for a 122-108 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday evening in Minneapolis.  Miles Bridges added 25 points, eight rebounds and seven assists for Charlotte (43-36), which won its fourth game in a row. Coby White contributed 17 points off the bench.  Julius Randle scored 26 points and grabbed eight rebounds to lead Minnesota (46-32). Bones Hyland finished with 18 points off the bench, and Rudy Gobert registered a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds.  Charlotte shot 48.9% (45 of 92) overall and 42.2% (19 of 45) from 3-point range. Minnesota shot 45.8% (38 of 83) from the field and 36.8% (14 of 38) from deep.  The Hornets outscored the Timberwolves 67-48 in the second half to seal the victory.  Minnesota led by four points early in the second half after Randle made a turnaround jump shot with 9:25 left in the third quarter. That gave the Timberwolves a 66-62 edge.  The Hornets responded with a 9-0 run to seize a 71-66 lead. Ball made a 3-pointer to start the run and Bridges ended it with back-to-back 3-pointers.   Sion James joined the 3-point parade with his own deep shot in the final moments of the third quarter. That gave Charlotte a double-digit advantage at 89-79.  Charlotte opened the fourth quarter on a 16-6 run to increase its lead to 20 points.  Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards missed the game because of inflammation in his right knee. Jaden McDaniels missed the game because of soreness in his left knee.  Minnesota led 60-55 at the half.  The Timberwolves scored 39 points in the second quarter to seize the halftime lead. Hyland got hot and scored 15 points in the second quarter. He made 4 of 5 shots, all from 3-point range.  Charlotte led by eight points at the end of the first quarter. Ball buried a trio of 3-pointers in the first quarter, and Grant Williams made a pair of free throws in the final seconds to give the Hornets a 29-21 advantage.  -Field Level Media    #Deadspin #Hornets #stay #hot #2ndhalf #surge #TimberwolvesApr 5, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Julius Randle (30) drives on Charlotte Hornets forward Moussa Diabate (14) in the first quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Blewett-Imagn Images

LaMelo Ball scored 35 points on 13-for-22 shooting and the Charlotte Hornets pulled away for a 122-108 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday evening in Minneapolis.

Miles Bridges added 25 points, eight rebounds and seven assists for Charlotte (43-36), which won its fourth game in a row. Coby White contributed 17 points off the bench.

Julius Randle scored 26 points and grabbed eight rebounds to lead Minnesota (46-32). Bones Hyland finished with 18 points off the bench, and Rudy Gobert registered a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds.

Charlotte shot 48.9% (45 of 92) overall and 42.2% (19 of 45) from 3-point range. Minnesota shot 45.8% (38 of 83) from the field and 36.8% (14 of 38) from deep.

The Hornets outscored the Timberwolves 67-48 in the second half to seal the victory.

Minnesota led by four points early in the second half after Randle made a turnaround jump shot with 9:25 left in the third quarter. That gave the Timberwolves a 66-62 edge.


The Hornets responded with a 9-0 run to seize a 71-66 lead. Ball made a 3-pointer to start the run and Bridges ended it with back-to-back 3-pointers.

Sion James joined the 3-point parade with his own deep shot in the final moments of the third quarter. That gave Charlotte a double-digit advantage at 89-79.

Charlotte opened the fourth quarter on a 16-6 run to increase its lead to 20 points.

Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards missed the game because of inflammation in his right knee. Jaden McDaniels missed the game because of soreness in his left knee.

Minnesota led 60-55 at the half.

The Timberwolves scored 39 points in the second quarter to seize the halftime lead. Hyland got hot and scored 15 points in the second quarter. He made 4 of 5 shots, all from 3-point range.

Charlotte led by eight points at the end of the first quarter. Ball buried a trio of 3-pointers in the first quarter, and Grant Williams made a pair of free throws in the final seconds to give the Hornets a 29-21 advantage.


-Field Level Media

#Deadspin #Hornets #stay #hot #2ndhalf #surge #Timberwolves">Deadspin | Hornets stay hot with 2nd-half surge past Timberwolves  Apr 5, 2026; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Julius Randle (30) drives on Charlotte Hornets forward Moussa Diabate (14) in the first quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Blewett-Imagn Images   LaMelo Ball scored 35 points on 13-for-22 shooting and the Charlotte Hornets pulled away for a 122-108 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves on Sunday evening in Minneapolis.  Miles Bridges added 25 points, eight rebounds and seven assists for Charlotte (43-36), which won its fourth game in a row. Coby White contributed 17 points off the bench.  Julius Randle scored 26 points and grabbed eight rebounds to lead Minnesota (46-32). Bones Hyland finished with 18 points off the bench, and Rudy Gobert registered a double-double with 12 points and 10 rebounds.  Charlotte shot 48.9% (45 of 92) overall and 42.2% (19 of 45) from 3-point range. Minnesota shot 45.8% (38 of 83) from the field and 36.8% (14 of 38) from deep.  The Hornets outscored the Timberwolves 67-48 in the second half to seal the victory.  Minnesota led by four points early in the second half after Randle made a turnaround jump shot with 9:25 left in the third quarter. That gave the Timberwolves a 66-62 edge.  The Hornets responded with a 9-0 run to seize a 71-66 lead. Ball made a 3-pointer to start the run and Bridges ended it with back-to-back 3-pointers.   Sion James joined the 3-point parade with his own deep shot in the final moments of the third quarter. That gave Charlotte a double-digit advantage at 89-79.  Charlotte opened the fourth quarter on a 16-6 run to increase its lead to 20 points.  Timberwolves guard Anthony Edwards missed the game because of inflammation in his right knee. Jaden McDaniels missed the game because of soreness in his left knee.  Minnesota led 60-55 at the half.  The Timberwolves scored 39 points in the second quarter to seize the halftime lead. Hyland got hot and scored 15 points in the second quarter. He made 4 of 5 shots, all from 3-point range.  Charlotte led by eight points at the end of the first quarter. Ball buried a trio of 3-pointers in the first quarter, and Grant Williams made a pair of free throws in the final seconds to give the Hornets a 29-21 advantage.  -Field Level Media    #Deadspin #Hornets #stay #hot #2ndhalf #surge #Timberwolves

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