The Green Bay Packers will host the Philadelphia Eagles in one of the most anticipated Monday Night Football games of the season. The Packers enter this game with a 5-2-1 record. The Eagles boast an NFC-best 6-2 record thus far.

It feels like we’re getting a perfect combination of a sell-high and buy-low spot on these teams.

After back-to-back disappointing losses, Philadelphia looks like a Super Bowl contender once again. They beat the Minnesota Vikings on the road before defeating the New York Giants by 18 points in their last game. They’re also coming off their bye week, giving them extra time to prepare.

Green Bay looked the part for the majority of the season, but they’re coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Carolina Panthers last week. Although they officially lost the game, the metrics suggest that the Packers would win that game far more than they lose it.

Ultimately, we can sell high on a couple of nice Eagles wins, and we can get a great number on a Packers team coming off a surprising loss.

There are two injuries on the offensive line for these teams that are likely to make a massive difference in this game.

Zach Tom is questionable for the Green Bay Packers, but he’s trending toward playing. The Eagles are a team that struggles to get pressure on their opponents. Jordan Love’s looked outstanding, averaging 9.9 yards per attempt with 13 touchdowns and only 1 interception when he’s given a clean pocket.

On the other side, Cam Jurgens has already been ruled out for Philadelphia. The Packers don’t get elite pressure on their opponents, but they rank near the middle of the NFL in pressure rate. The bigger key is that they blitz at one of the lowest rates in the league, getting pressure without sending extra bodies.

Jalen Hurts is a solid quarterback in all aspects, but he’s drastically better when opponents blitz him. He’s had nearly 20 fewer dropbacks against the blitz this season, but he’s thrown twice as many touchdowns in that situation. He’s also thrown only 2 touchdowns when pressured compared to 13 when given a clean pocket.

It’s impossible to ignore the home field advantage here as well. Green Bay has been better in all facets at home, while Philadelphia has been worse on the road. These are two teams who are looking at competing for a Super Bowl, and I believe the Packers’ ability to get pressure without sending extra players will be the difference in this game.

Where to Bet: Green Bay Packers moneyline | -115 at ESPN Bet

2025 NFL Season Betting Record: 15-23