Chiefs playoff odds: What a loss to the Colts would mean for their postseason chances

Chiefs playoff odds: What a loss to the Colts would mean for their postseason chances

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This Sunday the Kansas City Chiefs will host the Indianapolis Colts at Arrowhead Stadium.

If that AFC clash has the feeling of a playoff game, you might understand why in a moment.

Kansas City enters Week 12 on the back of a loss to the Denver Broncos, a defeat that dropped the Chiefs to 5-5 on the season, and four games behind the Broncos in the win column. Not only are the Chiefs now third in the division — behind both the Broncos and the Los Angeles Chargers — but if the playoffs began today, Kansas City would be on the outside looking in. The Chiefs are currently ninth in the AFC, in danger of missing the playoffs for the first time in more than a decade.

And given current playoff probabilities, a loss for Kansas City could crater their playoff chances.

Given that, let’s dive into Kansas City’s playoff odds, starting with where they stand going into Week 12 and how those odds will move depending on whether they win or lose on Sunday.

What are the Chiefs’ current playoff odds?

Depending on what source you use, the Chiefs’ playoff chances are slightly better than a coin flip.

According to projections from NFL.com, Kansas City’s chances of making the field ahead of Week 12 sit at 52%. ESPN’s playoff simulations give the Chiefs a 53% chance of making the playoffs, while Pro Football Focus lists their current odds of qualifying for the playoffs at 55%.

What a win means for Chiefs’ playoff odds

Again, while the numbers may vary slightly, every set of playoff projections indicates that a win for Kansas City would be massive for their playoff hopes. After playing Indianapolis, Kansas City finishes the season with games against the Dallas Cowboys, the Houston Texans, the Los Angeles Chargers, the Tennessee Titans, and the Denver Broncos.

Those games give Kansas City not only some chances to make up ground in the AFC West, but the game against Houston — a team currently ahead of the Chiefs in the Wild Card chase — could be critical.

Returning to Sunday against the Colts, Kansas City’s chances of making the playoffs jump to 63% with a win, according to NFL.com. Pro Football Focus is even more optimistic, listing the Chiefs’ playoff odds at 68% with a win over the Colts.

What a loss means for Chiefs’ playoff odds

Here is where the rubber meets the road.

A loss to Indianapolis on Sunday would not doom Kansas City, but their playoff chances would take a substantial hit. According to NFL.com, Kansas City’s playoff chances would drop to 35% with a loss to the Colts.

Pro Football Focus simulations drop the Chiefs’ playoff odds to that same mark.

And looking at the standings, you can see why. Houston’s win on Thursday night moved the Texans to 6-5 on the season, and a Chiefs’ loss on Sunday would drop Kansas City to a full game behind the Texans in the standings.

Then there is the division itself. Kansas City is already four games behind the idle Broncos in the win column. A loss to Indianapolis would not only keep them four games behind Denver in the win column, but drop the Chiefs to four games behind them in the loss column as well. And if the Chargers win on Sunday? That would keep Kansas City three games behind Los Angeles in the win column.

So, who will win on Sunday?

Indianapolis comes in rested after a bye week, and the Colts got some good news on Friday when Daniel Jones — who popped up on the injury report late this week with a leg injury — was cleared to play this weekend.

The Colts are listed as 3.5-point favorites on FanDuel, while in our expert picks here at SB Nation six writers picked Kansas City to win.

The other four picked the Colts.

We’ll find out who was right, and what happens to the Chiefs’ playoff chances, on Sunday.

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Delhi Capitals will host Chennai Super Kings at the Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi on Wednesday. Both teams have won four out of the nine games they have played.

In the reverse fixture, CSK beat DC by 23 runs in Chennai.

Here are the complete stats and head-to-head numbers you need to know before the teams face off:

DC vs CSK Head-to-Head Record in IPL

Matches Played: 32

Delhi Capitals: 12

Chennai Super Kings: 20

MOST RUNS IN DC vs CSK IPL MATCHES

Batter Innings Runs Average Strike Rate HS
MS Dhoni 29 696 38.66 142.04 63*
Suresh Raina 22 552 29.05 132.05 59
Shikhar Dhawan 10 433 54.12 136.16 101*
Rishabh Pant 11 375 46.87 156.9 79
Murali Vijay 12 346 34.6 136.22 113

MOST WICKETS IN DC vs CSK IPL MATCHES

Bowler Innings Wickets Economy Average BBI
Ravichandran Ashwin 17 19 6.52 21 3/23
Dwayne Bravo 17 19 8.06 22.42 3/33
Ravindra Jadeja 20 19 7.75 25.78 3/9
Deepak Chahar 12 13 8.06 26.69 3/22
Albie Morkel 14 13 8.29 29.76 3/32

Published on May 04, 2026

#CSK #headtohead #record #IPL #Delhi #Capitals #Chennai #Super #Kings #stats #runs #wickets">DC vs CSK head-to-head record, IPL 2026: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings stats, runs, wickets Delhi Capitals will host Chennai Super Kings at the Arun Jaitley Stadium in Delhi on Wednesday. Both teams have won four out of the nine games they have played.In the reverse fixture, CSK beat DC by 23 runs in Chennai.Here are the complete stats and head-to-head numbers you need to know before the teams face off: DC vs CSK Head-to-Head Record in IPL Matches Played: 32 Delhi Capitals: 12 Chennai Super Kings: 20 MOST RUNS IN DC vs CSK IPL MATCHES Batter Innings Runs Average Strike Rate HS MS Dhoni 29 696 38.66 142.04 63* Suresh Raina 22 552 29.05 132.05 59 Shikhar Dhawan 10 433 54.12 136.16 101* Rishabh Pant 11 375 46.87 156.9 79 Murali Vijay 12 346 34.6 136.22 113MOST WICKETS IN DC vs CSK IPL MATCHES Bowler Innings Wickets Economy Average BBI Ravichandran Ashwin 17 19 6.52 21 3/23 Dwayne Bravo 17 19 8.06 22.42 3/33 Ravindra Jadeja 20 19 7.75 25.78 3/9 Deepak Chahar 12 13 8.06 26.69 3/22 Albie Morkel 14 13 8.29 29.76 3/32Published on May 04, 2026 #CSK #headtohead #record #IPL #Delhi #Capitals #Chennai #Super #Kings #stats #runs #wickets

After 26 quarters of basketball, the Raptors and Cavs were tied 718-718 in total points scored for the series. It had been a very underwhelming series for Cleveland up until that point. Donovan Mitchell and James Harden had been very quiet, and shots weren’t falling for the rest of the role players.

Someone had to step up to save the season for Cleveland, and it was Jarrett Allen. The man best known for the lights being too bright saved the Cavs’ season with a 14-point, 10-rebound third quarter. He took over this game for Cleveland, being the catalyst for a 38-19 third quarter, which Cleveland rode to a 114-102 finish.

More importantly than Allen showing up when it mattered, the Cavs finally played like the team we expected them to be this entire series. Instead of settling for bad isolation sets and last-second threes, the Cavs took it to the Raptors and would not let up with consistent rim pressure.

Cleveland has been out-physicalled by playoff teams during the Mitchell era, and they won this game by being the more physical team on both ends. The Cavs out-rebounded the Raptors 40-33, but more importantly destroyed them on the offensive glass 20-7. They also did a great job getting in the paint, shooting 37 free throws in this one.

Harden didn’t have an amazing game, but late into the second quarter, he started putting his head down and driving into the lane. He finished the game with 13 free throws and was a big spark to Cleveland’s offense whenever the game seemed to get tense. Most importantly for Harden, he only had 2 turnovers. He limited the possessions for a Raptors team that thrives on transition basketball.

Round two should be much different for Cleveland. Donovan Mitchell has to show up for the Cavs. Detroit has far fewer physical and talented defenders to throw at him. If he can’t attack the doubles they send at him, I’ll have questions on what he can ever provide for Cleveland in the playoffs.

It was an ugly first round for Cleveland, but I love their matchup with Detroit heading into the Eastern Conference Semis. The Cavs have a far more explosive offense than Orlando, and should be able to exploit a Pistons team that showed zero signs of offensive production outside of Cade Cunningham. Dean Wade did a tremendous job of slowing Cade in the regular season. If he can do that again, I think Donovan could end his streak of zero Conference Finals appearances in 2026.

#Jarrett #Allen #Saves #Cavs #Game #Secure #Date #Pistons #Deadspin.com">Jarrett Allen Saves Cavs in Game 7 To Secure Date With Pistons | Deadspin.com After 26 quarters of basketball, the Raptors and Cavs were tied 718-718 in total points scored for the series. It had been a very underwhelming series for Cleveland up until that point. Donovan Mitchell and James Harden had been very quiet, and shots weren’t falling for the rest of the role players.Someone had to step up to save the season for Cleveland, and it was Jarrett Allen. The man best known for the lights being too bright saved the Cavs’ season with a 14-point, 10-rebound third quarter. He took over this game for Cleveland, being the catalyst for a 38-19 third quarter, which Cleveland rode to a 114-102 finish.More importantly than Allen showing up when it mattered, the Cavs finally played like the team we expected them to be this entire series. Instead of settling for bad isolation sets and last-second threes, the Cavs took it to the Raptors and would not let up with consistent rim pressure.Cleveland has been out-physicalled by playoff teams during the Mitchell era, and they won this game by being the more physical team on both ends. The Cavs out-rebounded the Raptors 40-33, but more importantly destroyed them on the offensive glass 20-7. They also did a great job getting in the paint, shooting 37 free throws in this one.Harden didn’t have an amazing game, but late into the second quarter, he started putting his head down and driving into the lane. He finished the game with 13 free throws and was a big spark to Cleveland’s offense whenever the game seemed to get tense. Most importantly for Harden, he only had 2 turnovers. He limited the possessions for a Raptors team that thrives on transition basketball.Round two should be much different for Cleveland. Donovan Mitchell has to show up for the Cavs. Detroit has far fewer physical and talented defenders to throw at him. If he can’t attack the doubles they send at him, I’ll have questions on what he can ever provide for Cleveland in the playoffs.It was an ugly first round for Cleveland, but I love their matchup with Detroit heading into the Eastern Conference Semis. The Cavs have a far more explosive offense than Orlando, and should be able to exploit a Pistons team that showed zero signs of offensive production outside of Cade Cunningham. Dean Wade did a tremendous job of slowing Cade in the regular season. If he can do that again, I think Donovan could end his streak of zero Conference Finals appearances in 2026. #Jarrett #Allen #Saves #Cavs #Game #Secure #Date #Pistons #Deadspin.com

the lights being too bright saved the Cavs’ season with a 14-point, 10-rebound third quarter. He took over this game for Cleveland, being the catalyst for a 38-19 third quarter, which Cleveland rode to a 114-102 finish.

More importantly than Allen showing up when it mattered, the Cavs finally played like the team we expected them to be this entire series. Instead of settling for bad isolation sets and last-second threes, the Cavs took it to the Raptors and would not let up with consistent rim pressure.

Cleveland has been out-physicalled by playoff teams during the Mitchell era, and they won this game by being the more physical team on both ends. The Cavs out-rebounded the Raptors 40-33, but more importantly destroyed them on the offensive glass 20-7. They also did a great job getting in the paint, shooting 37 free throws in this one.

Harden didn’t have an amazing game, but late into the second quarter, he started putting his head down and driving into the lane. He finished the game with 13 free throws and was a big spark to Cleveland’s offense whenever the game seemed to get tense. Most importantly for Harden, he only had 2 turnovers. He limited the possessions for a Raptors team that thrives on transition basketball.

Round two should be much different for Cleveland. Donovan Mitchell has to show up for the Cavs. Detroit has far fewer physical and talented defenders to throw at him. If he can’t attack the doubles they send at him, I’ll have questions on what he can ever provide for Cleveland in the playoffs.

It was an ugly first round for Cleveland, but I love their matchup with Detroit heading into the Eastern Conference Semis. The Cavs have a far more explosive offense than Orlando, and should be able to exploit a Pistons team that showed zero signs of offensive production outside of Cade Cunningham. Dean Wade did a tremendous job of slowing Cade in the regular season. If he can do that again, I think Donovan could end his streak of zero Conference Finals appearances in 2026.

#Jarrett #Allen #Saves #Cavs #Game #Secure #Date #Pistons #Deadspin.com">Jarrett Allen Saves Cavs in Game 7 To Secure Date With Pistons | Deadspin.com

After 26 quarters of basketball, the Raptors and Cavs were tied 718-718 in total points scored for the series. It had been a very underwhelming series for Cleveland up until that point. Donovan Mitchell and James Harden had been very quiet, and shots weren’t falling for the rest of the role players.

Someone had to step up to save the season for Cleveland, and it was Jarrett Allen. The man best known for the lights being too bright saved the Cavs’ season with a 14-point, 10-rebound third quarter. He took over this game for Cleveland, being the catalyst for a 38-19 third quarter, which Cleveland rode to a 114-102 finish.

More importantly than Allen showing up when it mattered, the Cavs finally played like the team we expected them to be this entire series. Instead of settling for bad isolation sets and last-second threes, the Cavs took it to the Raptors and would not let up with consistent rim pressure.

Cleveland has been out-physicalled by playoff teams during the Mitchell era, and they won this game by being the more physical team on both ends. The Cavs out-rebounded the Raptors 40-33, but more importantly destroyed them on the offensive glass 20-7. They also did a great job getting in the paint, shooting 37 free throws in this one.

Harden didn’t have an amazing game, but late into the second quarter, he started putting his head down and driving into the lane. He finished the game with 13 free throws and was a big spark to Cleveland’s offense whenever the game seemed to get tense. Most importantly for Harden, he only had 2 turnovers. He limited the possessions for a Raptors team that thrives on transition basketball.

Round two should be much different for Cleveland. Donovan Mitchell has to show up for the Cavs. Detroit has far fewer physical and talented defenders to throw at him. If he can’t attack the doubles they send at him, I’ll have questions on what he can ever provide for Cleveland in the playoffs.

It was an ugly first round for Cleveland, but I love their matchup with Detroit heading into the Eastern Conference Semis. The Cavs have a far more explosive offense than Orlando, and should be able to exploit a Pistons team that showed zero signs of offensive production outside of Cade Cunningham. Dean Wade did a tremendous job of slowing Cade in the regular season. If he can do that again, I think Donovan could end his streak of zero Conference Finals appearances in 2026.

#Jarrett #Allen #Saves #Cavs #Game #Secure #Date #Pistons #Deadspin.com
AUTO-PRIX-F1-USA-QUALIFYING
AUTO-PRIX-F1-USA-QUALIFYING

Mercedes’ Italian driver Kimi Antonelli (C), winner of the pole position, stands with Red Bull Racing’s Dutch driver Max Verstappen (L), who finished second, and Ferrari’s Monegasque driver Charles Leclerc (R), who finished third, after the qualifying session for the 2026 Miami Formula One Grand Prix at Miami International Autodrome in Miami Gardens, Florida, on May 2, 2026. (Photo by CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP via Getty Images)
AFP via Getty Images

#qualifying #results #Kimi #Antonelli #takes #pole #Miami #Grand #Prix">F1 qualifying results: Kimi Antonelli takes pole at the Miami Grand Prix Mercedes’ Italian driver Kimi Antonelli (C), winner of the pole position, stands with Red Bull Racing’s Dutch driver Max Verstappen (L), who finished second, and Ferrari’s Monegasque driver Charles Leclerc (R), who finished third, after the qualifying session for the 2026 Miami Formula One Grand Prix at Miami International Autodrome in Miami Gardens, Florida, on May 2, 2026. (Photo by CHARLY TRIBALLEAU / AFP via Getty Images) AFP via Getty Images #qualifying #results #Kimi #Antonelli #takes #pole #Miami #Grand #Prix

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