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Michigan vs. UConn instant prediction for 2026 men’s national championship game

Michigan vs. UConn instant prediction for 2026 men’s national championship game

INDIANAPOLIS — The Michigan Wolverines have been the best team in men’s college basketball all season. The UConn Huskies have been the sport’s main character from the moment they hired Dan Hurley, and he has two national championship rings to prove it. The 2026 national championship game is going to be a stunner, but only one team can cut down the nets on Monday night.

Michigan has been throttling teams all year, but it saved its best performance of the season for its Final Four rout of Arizona. In a matchup of the top-2 teams on KenPom’s rankings, the Wolverines flexed their power even while superstar forward Yaxel Lendeborg was limited to only five minutes in the first half with foul trouble and injury. Arizona only had two losses on its resume entering the night, and had not trailed by more than 12 points this season. Michigan was still up 18 going into halftime, and it was a blowout from there.

UConn looked like it might make an early tournament exit after losing its regular season finale to a bad Marquette team, then getting crushed by 20 points by St. John’s in the Big East tournament championship game. Dan Hurley turned it on once the NCAA tournament started, and Braylon Mullins’ miracle three to stun Duke in the Elite Eight saved the season. The Final Four win against Illinois was more proof he’s the best postseason coach in all of sports.

Hurley picked apart Illinois size by running shooters off screens all night, and letting the Illini big men fire away from three. UConn looked like a team that was used to playing games in a football stadium in their third Final Four appearance in the last four years. Maybe the sightlines messed with the Illini, or maybe it was just a cold shooting night, but the Huskies got every bounce they needed while Brad Underwood’s team couldn’t buy a bucket.

Hurley and UConn are going for three national championships in four years. Michigan wants to solidify its place as one of the most dominant college teams in recent memory. Who has the edge?

How UConn can win the 2026 national championship

The Huskies have the best coaching staff in America. Hurley is so good that he turned down $70 million to coach the Los Angeles Lakers and it doesn’t even seem like a regrettable move. Top assistant Luke Murray is a schematic genius, and he’ll be Boston College’s head coach after Monday night. Kimani Young is another elite assistant who has been with Hurley throughout this run.

UConn’s offense is hard to prepare for because no one plays like them. The Huskies finished in the 100th percentile of off-screen play types, and also mix in a whirling combination of back-cuts and dribble-handoffs. Hurley won a national championship with Jordan Hawkins running off those screens to hit shots. Then he did it with Cam Spencer. Now Braylon Mullins is his latest gunner. It doesn’t matter who is in the role, the offense produces great shots and Hurley recruits players who can hit them.

Alex Karaban has been Hurley’s rock the entire time. He was a freshman starter on the 2023 national champions led by Andre Jackson and Adama Sanogo, and then he was next to Stephon Castle and Donovan Clingan on the 2024 championship run. Hurley tried to make Karaban the focal point last season, and it wasn’t the right fit as the team was eliminated in the round of 32 by eventual champ Florida. Karaban is back playing his old role this year, and UConn has returned to being a postseason monster.

The Huskies upgraded at point guard over the offseason by bringing in Silas Demary, a fierce point of attack defender who also makes 39 percent of his threes. Demary helped tighten up the ball pressure, and the defense suddenly took off, going from No. 75 last season to No. 8 this year.

Tarris Reed has been the team’s best player, and one of the very best in this NCAA tournament. He uses his strength and 7’5 wingspan to eat inside. He gets UConn so many second chances on the offensive glass, and he’s become really good at challenging shots at the rim without fouling. Reed started his career at Michigan, and winning on Monday night would be the ultimate validation for him.

Michigan could have trouble getting over UConn’s maze of screens with such a big lineup. The Huskies hold opponents to 30.1 percent shooting from three on the year. If the Wolverines are cold from deep and the game is close late, Hurley will have a chance to work his late game magic again.

Why Michigan will win the 2026 national championship

Michigan showed it had a chance to be an all-time great college team in November at the Players Era Fest when it blasted San Diego State by 40, Auburn by 30, and Gonzaga by 40. From that point on, the national championship race has been running through the Wolverines.

Arizona felt like one of the few teams with the talent to actually have a chance against Michigan. The game was only competitive for a few minutes despite the Wolverines’ three best players all getting in early foul trouble. It didn’t matter. Michigan showed its more than just Lendeborg’s team with an incredible team effort that showed off the full extent of their might. Elliot Cadeau dominated with his speed and playmaking despite a cold shooting night. Aday Mara proved you can’t teach 7’3 with a 7’7 wingspan by dominating the rim at both ends. Morez Johnson is all heart, hustle, and muscle — which is a cliche way to describe college basketball’s best and most versatile defender. Freshman Trey McKenney ripped the nets from three, Roddy Gayle uncorked a huge dunk or two. Arizona had been a steamroller all year, and this time they were the team that got steamrolled.

Michigan is uniquely equipped to defend Tarris Reed. It can match his strength with Johnson, and let Mara roam off the ball as a help-side shot blocker. It could also let Mara try to smother him with length. The Wolverines should have the advantage on the glass, and they will almost certainly draw more free throws. Demary could give Cadeau some trouble, but as long as he plays within himself, Michigan should win comfortably.

Michigan’s transition game is so hard to stop with Mara has the trigger man on outlet passes. Cadeau’s passing vision is second to none, and even a hobbled Lendeborg looked pretty great in the second half against Arizona.

Lendeborg’s injury is an issue if he doesn’t heal quickly. Michigan also showed it doesn’t really need him to roll a great team.

It’s been Michigan’s year all season long. It will lock it in on Monday night.

Prediction: Michigan 91, UConn 79

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Deadspin | Celtics eke out Game 3 win vs. Sixers, regain series lead  Apr 24, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) drives to the basket  against Philadelphia 76ers forward Paul George (8) during the first half at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images   Jayson Tatum scored 11 of his 25 points in the fourth quarter as the visiting Boston Celtics defeated the Philadelphia 76ers 108-100 on Friday in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series.    Jaylen Brown matched Tatum with 25 points, while Payton Pritchard added 15 points for the second-seeded Celtics, who lead the best-of-seven series 2-1. Derrick White and Nikola Vucevic each chipped in 11 points for Boston.    Tyrese Maxey scored 31 points on 12-of-31 shooting for the seventh-seeded Sixers, who will attempt to even the series Sunday night when the teams reconvene back in South Philly.   Paul George (18 points) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (17) also made key contributions for the hosts, while VJ Edgecombe pitched in with 10 points but shot just 5 of 17, including 0 of 7 from long range. Edgecombe grabbed a game-high 10 rebounds.    Early in the third quarter, the Sixers embarked on a 12-0 run to turn a 64-55 deficit into a three-point lead. The Celtics regained the advantage shortly thereafter and went on to lead 79-74 after three quarters, thanks to two 3-pointers by Pritchard late in the session.    Philadelphia trailed 84-80 early in the fourth before Maxey made a tough fadeaway and a 3-pointer to put the Sixers ahead by a point.     However, the visitors responded with eight straight points. Brown found White for a layup before scoring the final four points of the burst, guiding Boston to a 92-85 edge with 5:39 remaining.    George and Andre Drummond helped bring the Sixers within 97-96 with 2:19 left, but Tatum answered with a 3-pointer. Following another Philadelphia bucket, Pritchard drained a 3-pointer at the shot-clock buzzer to make it 103-98 with 1:17 to go.    Philadelphia again made it a one-possession game, but Tatum swished a long 3-pointer with 26.6 seconds left to punctuate his dynamic performance.    Boston made seven 3-pointers in the first quarter en route to a 29-24 lead after 12 minutes.    The Celtics went ahead by double digits early in the second quarter as Baylor Scheierman’s 3-pointer made it 41-31. The Sixers chipped away and got within 47-45 with two minutes left in the half before Boston made a mini-push to bring a 54-47 lead into the locker room.    –Field Level Media    #Deadspin #Celtics #eke #Game #win #Sixers #regain #series #leadApr 24, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) drives to the basket against Philadelphia 76ers forward Paul George (8) during the first half at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images

Jayson Tatum scored 11 of his 25 points in the fourth quarter as the visiting Boston Celtics defeated the Philadelphia 76ers 108-100 on Friday in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series.

Jaylen Brown matched Tatum with 25 points, while Payton Pritchard added 15 points for the second-seeded Celtics, who lead the best-of-seven series 2-1. Derrick White and Nikola Vucevic each chipped in 11 points for Boston.

Tyrese Maxey scored 31 points on 12-of-31 shooting for the seventh-seeded Sixers, who will attempt to even the series Sunday night when the teams reconvene back in South Philly.

Paul George (18 points) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (17) also made key contributions for the hosts, while VJ Edgecombe pitched in with 10 points but shot just 5 of 17, including 0 of 7 from long range. Edgecombe grabbed a game-high 10 rebounds.

Early in the third quarter, the Sixers embarked on a 12-0 run to turn a 64-55 deficit into a three-point lead. The Celtics regained the advantage shortly thereafter and went on to lead 79-74 after three quarters, thanks to two 3-pointers by Pritchard late in the session.

Philadelphia trailed 84-80 early in the fourth before Maxey made a tough fadeaway and a 3-pointer to put the Sixers ahead by a point.


However, the visitors responded with eight straight points. Brown found White for a layup before scoring the final four points of the burst, guiding Boston to a 92-85 edge with 5:39 remaining.

George and Andre Drummond helped bring the Sixers within 97-96 with 2:19 left, but Tatum answered with a 3-pointer. Following another Philadelphia bucket, Pritchard drained a 3-pointer at the shot-clock buzzer to make it 103-98 with 1:17 to go.

Philadelphia again made it a one-possession game, but Tatum swished a long 3-pointer with 26.6 seconds left to punctuate his dynamic performance.

Boston made seven 3-pointers in the first quarter en route to a 29-24 lead after 12 minutes.

The Celtics went ahead by double digits early in the second quarter as Baylor Scheierman’s 3-pointer made it 41-31. The Sixers chipped away and got within 47-45 with two minutes left in the half before Boston made a mini-push to bring a 54-47 lead into the locker room.


–Field Level Media

#Deadspin #Celtics #eke #Game #win #Sixers #regain #series #lead">Deadspin | Celtics eke out Game 3 win vs. Sixers, regain series lead  Apr 24, 2026; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) drives to the basket  against Philadelphia 76ers forward Paul George (8) during the first half at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images   Jayson Tatum scored 11 of his 25 points in the fourth quarter as the visiting Boston Celtics defeated the Philadelphia 76ers 108-100 on Friday in Game 3 of their first-round playoff series.    Jaylen Brown matched Tatum with 25 points, while Payton Pritchard added 15 points for the second-seeded Celtics, who lead the best-of-seven series 2-1. Derrick White and Nikola Vucevic each chipped in 11 points for Boston.    Tyrese Maxey scored 31 points on 12-of-31 shooting for the seventh-seeded Sixers, who will attempt to even the series Sunday night when the teams reconvene back in South Philly.   Paul George (18 points) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (17) also made key contributions for the hosts, while VJ Edgecombe pitched in with 10 points but shot just 5 of 17, including 0 of 7 from long range. Edgecombe grabbed a game-high 10 rebounds.    Early in the third quarter, the Sixers embarked on a 12-0 run to turn a 64-55 deficit into a three-point lead. The Celtics regained the advantage shortly thereafter and went on to lead 79-74 after three quarters, thanks to two 3-pointers by Pritchard late in the session.    Philadelphia trailed 84-80 early in the fourth before Maxey made a tough fadeaway and a 3-pointer to put the Sixers ahead by a point.     However, the visitors responded with eight straight points. Brown found White for a layup before scoring the final four points of the burst, guiding Boston to a 92-85 edge with 5:39 remaining.    George and Andre Drummond helped bring the Sixers within 97-96 with 2:19 left, but Tatum answered with a 3-pointer. Following another Philadelphia bucket, Pritchard drained a 3-pointer at the shot-clock buzzer to make it 103-98 with 1:17 to go.    Philadelphia again made it a one-possession game, but Tatum swished a long 3-pointer with 26.6 seconds left to punctuate his dynamic performance.    Boston made seven 3-pointers in the first quarter en route to a 29-24 lead after 12 minutes.    The Celtics went ahead by double digits early in the second quarter as Baylor Scheierman’s 3-pointer made it 41-31. The Sixers chipped away and got within 47-45 with two minutes left in the half before Boston made a mini-push to bring a 54-47 lead into the locker room.    –Field Level Media    #Deadspin #Celtics #eke #Game #win #Sixers #regain #series #lead

Deadspin | Cowboys acquire 49ers starting LB Dee Winters for 5th-round pick  Dec 22, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; San Francisco 49ers linebacker Dee Winters (53) carries the ball after an interception for a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts in the fourth quarter of the game at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images   The Dallas Cowboys continued to bolster their defense on Friday, trading a fifth-round draft pick for San Francisco 49ers linebacker Dee Winters.  Winters, 25, started all 17 regular-season games last season and had team-high 101 tackles as well as eight tackles for loss, five passes defended and one interception which he returned 74 yards for a touchdown.  A native of Brenham, Texas, Winters has 155 career tackles, eight tackles for loss, three quarterback hits, 10 passes defended and the one interception in 47 regular-season games (27 starts). Winters also has played in four playoff games (one start) and has 10 tackles.  San Francisco selected Winters in the sixth round of the 2023 draft out of TCU.   The 49ers now have the 152nd overall pick that belonged to the Cowboys, who went defense in the first round on Thursday by selecting Ohio State safety Caleb Downs (11th overall) and UCF pass rusher Malachi Lawrence (23rd). Dallas did not have a second-round pick.  The Cowboys traded defensive tackle Osa Odighizuwa to the 49ers for a third-round pick (92nd overall) on March 11.  –Field Level Media   #Deadspin #Cowboys #acquire #49ers #starting #Dee #Winters #5thround #pickDec 22, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; San Francisco 49ers linebacker Dee Winters (53) carries the ball after an interception for a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts in the fourth quarter of the game at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images

The Dallas Cowboys continued to bolster their defense on Friday, trading a fifth-round draft pick for San Francisco 49ers linebacker Dee Winters.

Winters, 25, started all 17 regular-season games last season and had team-high 101 tackles as well as eight tackles for loss, five passes defended and one interception which he returned 74 yards for a touchdown.

A native of Brenham, Texas, Winters has 155 career tackles, eight tackles for loss, three quarterback hits, 10 passes defended and the one interception in 47 regular-season games (27 starts). Winters also has played in four playoff games (one start) and has 10 tackles.


San Francisco selected Winters in the sixth round of the 2023 draft out of TCU.

The 49ers now have the 152nd overall pick that belonged to the Cowboys, who went defense in the first round on Thursday by selecting Ohio State safety Caleb Downs (11th overall) and UCF pass rusher Malachi Lawrence (23rd). Dallas did not have a second-round pick.

The Cowboys traded defensive tackle Osa Odighizuwa to the 49ers for a third-round pick (92nd overall) on March 11.

–Field Level Media

#Deadspin #Cowboys #acquire #49ers #starting #Dee #Winters #5thround #pick">Deadspin | Cowboys acquire 49ers starting LB Dee Winters for 5th-round pick  Dec 22, 2025; Indianapolis, Indiana, USA; San Francisco 49ers linebacker Dee Winters (53) carries the ball after an interception for a touchdown against the Indianapolis Colts in the fourth quarter of the game at Lucas Oil Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Trevor Ruszkowski-Imagn Images   The Dallas Cowboys continued to bolster their defense on Friday, trading a fifth-round draft pick for San Francisco 49ers linebacker Dee Winters.  Winters, 25, started all 17 regular-season games last season and had team-high 101 tackles as well as eight tackles for loss, five passes defended and one interception which he returned 74 yards for a touchdown.  A native of Brenham, Texas, Winters has 155 career tackles, eight tackles for loss, three quarterback hits, 10 passes defended and the one interception in 47 regular-season games (27 starts). Winters also has played in four playoff games (one start) and has 10 tackles.  San Francisco selected Winters in the sixth round of the 2023 draft out of TCU.   The 49ers now have the 152nd overall pick that belonged to the Cowboys, who went defense in the first round on Thursday by selecting Ohio State safety Caleb Downs (11th overall) and UCF pass rusher Malachi Lawrence (23rd). Dallas did not have a second-round pick.  The Cowboys traded defensive tackle Osa Odighizuwa to the 49ers for a third-round pick (92nd overall) on March 11.  –Field Level Media   #Deadspin #Cowboys #acquire #49ers #starting #Dee #Winters #5thround #pick

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