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Military Conflicts at Historic High as US Signals Retreat from World Stage

Military Conflicts at Historic High as US Signals Retreat from World Stage

  • Opinion by Peace Research Institute Oslo (oslo, norway)
  • Inter Press Service

OSLO, Norway, Jun 12 (IPS) – The world is experiencing a surge in violence not seen since the post-World War II era. 2024 marked a grim new record: the highest number of state-based armed conflicts in over seven decades.

A staggering 61 conflicts were recorded across 36 countries last year, according to PRIO’s Conflict Trends: A Global Overview report. “This is not just a spike – it’s a structural shift. The world today is far more violent, and far more fragmented, than it was a decade ago,” warned Siri Aas Rustad, Research Director at the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and lead author of the report.

“Now is not the time for the United States – or any global power – to retreat from international engagement. Isolationism in the face of rising global violence would be a profound mistake with long-term human life consequences.”

The report is based on data from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program. It shows that while the number of battle-related deaths in 2024 held steady at approximately 129,000 – matching the devastating toll of 2023 – this level of violence was far above the average for the past three decades. 2024 was the fourth most deadly year since the Cold War ended in 1989.

Two major wars dominated the battlefield: Russia’s continued invasion of Ukraine claimed an estimated 76,000 lives, while the war in Gaza killed 26,000. But these headline conflicts are only part of the picture. What is increasingly alarming is the multiplication of conflicts within individual countries.

More than half of all conflict-affected states now face two or more separate state-based conflicts, which are internal conflicts where the government is one of the warring parties. In nine countries, there were three or more state-based conflicts.

This reflects a deepening complexity in global conflict dynamics – where state fragility, transnational actors and local grievances feed into overlapping crises that are harder to contain, let alone resolve.

“Conflicts are no longer isolated. They’re layered, transnational and increasingly difficult to end,” said Rustad. “It is a mistake to assume the world can look away. Whether under President Trump or any future administration, abandoning global solidarity now would mean walking away from the very stability the U.S. helped build after 1945.”

The data also identified a rise in militant group activity as a key driver of new and sustained violence. While the Islamic State (IS) remained active in at least 12 countries, other groups like Jama’at Nusrat al-Islam wal-Muslimin (JNIM) expanded its footprint. JNIM operated in five West African countries in 2024.

Africa remained the most conflict-affected region last year, with 28 state-based conflicts recorded, nearly double the number from a decade earlier. Asia followed with 17, the Middle East with 10, Europe with 3 and the Americas with 2.

“Our analysis shows that the global security landscape is not improving, it’s fracturing. And without sustained international engagement, the risks to civilians, regional stability and international order will only deepen,” warned Rustad.

IPS UN Bureau

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© Inter Press Service (2025) — All Rights Reserved. Original source: Inter Press Service



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#Military #Conflicts #Historic #High #Signals #Retreat #World #Stage

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Hungarian voters turned out in force on Sunday to deliver a landslide victory to pro-European candidate Peter Magyar, who has pledged to turn the country away from its far-right, authoritarian course under Prime Minister Viktor Orban.

Magyar’s center-right Tisza party is set to gain 138 seats in Hungary’s 199-seat parliament, giving it five seats more than the two-thirds needed to push through the reforms the 45-year-old former Orban loyalist promised on the campaign trail.

The victory came despite Orban’s control of Hungary’s public media, gerrymandering of voting districts that required Tisza to gain an estimated 5% more votes than Orban’s Fidesz party and efforts both by European far-right parties and the US to urge voters to retain the government in power.

Turnout reached almost 80%, according to the National Election Office — a record number in any vote in post-communist Hungary.

Viktor Orban, gray-haired man in suit without tie raising both hands, several people behind him, clapping
Orban conceded defeat before supporters in BudapestImage: Attila Kisbenedek/AFP

What has Peter Magyar promised?

In a speech to supporters following his landslide victory, Magyar reiterated campaign promises to rebuild ties with Brussels and NATO, which were badly eroded during Orban’s rule, and vigorously fight the corruption that also flourished under the populist leader.

“With the two-thirds majority allowing us to amend the constitution, we will restore the system of checks and balances,” Magyar said.

“We will join the European Public Prosecutor’s Office and guarantee the democratic functioning of our country. We will never again allow anyone to hold free Hungary captive or to abandon it,” he said.

“Tonight, truth prevailed over lies. Today, we won because Hungarians didn’t ask what their homeland could do for them — they asked what they could do for their homeland. You found the answer. And you followed through,” he said.

Many in the crowd chanted “Europe, Europe” during his speech.

Among other things, Magyar has pledged to carry out reforms that could potentially unlock billions in European Union funding, frozen over concerns in Brussels about Orban’s dismantling of the rule of law and repression of media freedom. He has said he also wants Hungary to adopt the euro as currency.

Some diplomats and analysts say, however, that the new government must first demonstrate concrete results from its reform drive before the release of the funds, which would deliver a much-needed boost to the country’s nearly stagnant economy.

Magyar’s stance on LGBTQ+ rights, which were gravely undermined by Orban, is also unclear, as he said little about the issue during his campaign — a move observers said was aimed at keeping conservative voters on side. He has, however, said that he supports equality of all before the law.

European leaders, Ukraine welcome Magyar victory

Magyar’s win has been hailed by many leaders in the EU and Europe who hope that the change in government will lead not only to internal reforms in Hungary but also a radical change in policy toward Ukraine.

Althought Magyar, like Orban, rejects sending arms to Ukraine and opposes the country’s quick EU integration, he is unlikely to repeat his predecessor’s vituperative rhetoric toward Kyiv.

Orban repeatedly used his veto to frustrate the EU’s efforts to support Kyiv in its war against Russia’s full-scale invasion and was one of the few leaders within the bloc to maintain close ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin. He also refused to end Hungary’s dependence on Russian energy imports, which help finance Russia’s illegal war.

This Moscow-friendly approach was also rejected by many in Hungary, and chants of “Ruszkik haza!” or “Russians go home!” — a phrase used widely during Hungary’s 1956 anti-Soviet revolution — were widely heard in Budapest as Orban’s defeat became clear.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen hailed Magyar’s victory on X in English and Hungarian, saying “Europe’s heart is beating stronger in Hungary tonight” as the results were announced.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz addressed Magyar on social media, saying “”I am looking forward to working with you. “Let’s join forces for a strong, secure and, above all, united Europe.”

French President Emmanuel Macron posted on X that “France welcomes this victory for democratic participation, for the Hungarian people’s commitment to the values of the European Union, and for Hungary in Europe.”  

“Today Europe wins and European values win,” Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said on X, congratulating Hungarian citizens on “historic elections”. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also congratulated Magyar on his “resounding victory.”

 “We are ready for meetings and joint constructive work for the benefit of both nations, as well as peace, security, and stability in Europe,” Zelenskyy said in a post on X.

Edited by: Louis Oelofse

#Hungary #Orbans #ouster #heralds #thaw #ties">Hungary: Orban’s ouster heralds thaw in EU tiesHungarian voters turned out in force on Sunday to deliver a landslide victory to pro-European candidate Peter Magyar, who has pledged to turn the country away from its far-right, authoritarian course under Prime Minister Viktor Orban.

Magyar’s center-right Tisza party is set to gain 138 seats in Hungary’s 199-seat parliament, giving it five seats more than the two-thirds needed to push through the reforms the 45-year-old former Orban loyalist promised on the campaign trail.

The victory came despite Orban’s control of Hungary’s public media, gerrymandering of voting districts that required Tisza to gain an estimated 5% more votes than Orban’s Fidesz party and efforts both by European far-right parties and the US to urge voters to retain the government in power.

Turnout reached almost 80%, according to the National Election Office — a record number in any vote in post-communist Hungary.Orban conceded defeat before supporters in BudapestImage: Attila Kisbenedek/AFP

What has Peter Magyar promised?

In a speech to supporters following his landslide victory, Magyar reiterated campaign promises to rebuild ties with Brussels and NATO, which were badly eroded during Orban’s rule, and vigorously fight the corruption that also flourished under the populist leader.

“With the two-thirds majority allowing us to amend the constitution, we will restore the system of checks and balances,” Magyar said.

“We will join the European Public Prosecutor’s Office and guarantee the democratic functioning of our country. We will never again allow anyone to hold free Hungary captive or to abandon it,” he said.

“Tonight, truth prevailed over lies. Today, we won because Hungarians didn’t ask what their homeland could do for them — they asked what they could do for their homeland. You found the answer. And you followed through,” he said.

Many in the crowd chanted “Europe, Europe” during his speech.

Among other things, Magyar has pledged to carry out reforms that could potentially unlock billions in European Union funding, frozen over concerns in Brussels about Orban’s dismantling of the rule of law and repression of media freedom. He has said he also wants Hungary to adopt the euro as currency.

Some diplomats and analysts say, however, that the new government must first demonstrate concrete results from its reform drive before the release of the funds, which would deliver a much-needed boost to the country’s nearly stagnant economy.

Magyar’s stance on LGBTQ+ rights, which were gravely undermined by Orban, is also unclear, as he said little about the issue during his campaign — a move observers said was aimed at keeping conservative voters on side. He has, however, said that he supports equality of all before the law.

European leaders, Ukraine welcome Magyar victory

Magyar’s win has been hailed by many leaders in the EU and Europe who hope that the change in government will lead not only to internal reforms in Hungary but also a radical change in policy toward Ukraine.

Althought Magyar, like Orban, rejects sending arms to Ukraine and opposes the country’s quick EU integration, he is unlikely to repeat his predecessor’s vituperative rhetoric toward Kyiv.

Orban repeatedly used his veto to frustrate the EU’s efforts to support Kyiv in its war against Russia’s full-scale invasion and was one of the few leaders within the bloc to maintain close ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin. He also refused to end Hungary’s dependence on Russian energy imports, which help finance Russia’s illegal war.

This Moscow-friendly approach was also rejected by many in Hungary, and chants of “Ruszkik haza!” or “Russians go home!” — a phrase used widely during Hungary’s 1956 anti-Soviet revolution — were widely heard in Budapest as Orban’s defeat became clear.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen hailed Magyar’s victory on X in English and Hungarian, saying “Europe’s heart is beating stronger in Hungary tonight” as the results were announced.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz addressed Magyar on social media, saying “”I am looking forward to working with you. “Let’s join forces for a strong, secure and, above all, united Europe.”

French President Emmanuel Macron posted on X that “France welcomes this victory for democratic participation, for the Hungarian people’s commitment to the values of the European Union, and for Hungary in Europe.”  

“Today Europe wins and European values win,” Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said on X, congratulating Hungarian citizens on “historic elections”. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also congratulated Magyar on his “resounding victory.”

 “We are ready for meetings and joint constructive work for the benefit of both nations, as well as peace, security, and stability in Europe,” Zelenskyy said in a post on X.

Edited by: Louis Oelofse
#Hungary #Orbans #ouster #heralds #thaw #ties

Hungarian voters turned out in force on Sunday to deliver a landslide victory to pro-European candidate Peter Magyar, who has pledged to turn the country away from its far-right, authoritarian course under Prime Minister Viktor Orban.

Magyar’s center-right Tisza party is set to gain 138 seats in Hungary’s 199-seat parliament, giving it five seats more than the two-thirds needed to push through the reforms the 45-year-old former Orban loyalist promised on the campaign trail.

The victory came despite Orban’s control of Hungary’s public media, gerrymandering of voting districts that required Tisza to gain an estimated 5% more votes than Orban’s Fidesz party and efforts both by European far-right parties and the US to urge voters to retain the government in power.

Turnout reached almost 80%, according to the National Election Office — a record number in any vote in post-communist Hungary.

Viktor Orban, gray-haired man in suit without tie raising both hands, several people behind him, clapping
Orban conceded defeat before supporters in BudapestImage: Attila Kisbenedek/AFP

What has Peter Magyar promised?

In a speech to supporters following his landslide victory, Magyar reiterated campaign promises to rebuild ties with Brussels and NATO, which were badly eroded during Orban’s rule, and vigorously fight the corruption that also flourished under the populist leader.

“With the two-thirds majority allowing us to amend the constitution, we will restore the system of checks and balances,” Magyar said.

“We will join the European Public Prosecutor’s Office and guarantee the democratic functioning of our country. We will never again allow anyone to hold free Hungary captive or to abandon it,” he said.

“Tonight, truth prevailed over lies. Today, we won because Hungarians didn’t ask what their homeland could do for them — they asked what they could do for their homeland. You found the answer. And you followed through,” he said.

Many in the crowd chanted “Europe, Europe” during his speech.

Among other things, Magyar has pledged to carry out reforms that could potentially unlock billions in European Union funding, frozen over concerns in Brussels about Orban’s dismantling of the rule of law and repression of media freedom. He has said he also wants Hungary to adopt the euro as currency.

Some diplomats and analysts say, however, that the new government must first demonstrate concrete results from its reform drive before the release of the funds, which would deliver a much-needed boost to the country’s nearly stagnant economy.

Magyar’s stance on LGBTQ+ rights, which were gravely undermined by Orban, is also unclear, as he said little about the issue during his campaign — a move observers said was aimed at keeping conservative voters on side. He has, however, said that he supports equality of all before the law.

European leaders, Ukraine welcome Magyar victory

Magyar’s win has been hailed by many leaders in the EU and Europe who hope that the change in government will lead not only to internal reforms in Hungary but also a radical change in policy toward Ukraine.

Althought Magyar, like Orban, rejects sending arms to Ukraine and opposes the country’s quick EU integration, he is unlikely to repeat his predecessor’s vituperative rhetoric toward Kyiv.

Orban repeatedly used his veto to frustrate the EU’s efforts to support Kyiv in its war against Russia’s full-scale invasion and was one of the few leaders within the bloc to maintain close ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin. He also refused to end Hungary’s dependence on Russian energy imports, which help finance Russia’s illegal war.

This Moscow-friendly approach was also rejected by many in Hungary, and chants of “Ruszkik haza!” or “Russians go home!” — a phrase used widely during Hungary’s 1956 anti-Soviet revolution — were widely heard in Budapest as Orban’s defeat became clear.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen hailed Magyar’s victory on X in English and Hungarian, saying “Europe’s heart is beating stronger in Hungary tonight” as the results were announced.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz addressed Magyar on social media, saying “”I am looking forward to working with you. “Let’s join forces for a strong, secure and, above all, united Europe.”

French President Emmanuel Macron posted on X that “France welcomes this victory for democratic participation, for the Hungarian people’s commitment to the values of the European Union, and for Hungary in Europe.”  

“Today Europe wins and European values win,” Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said on X, congratulating Hungarian citizens on “historic elections”. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also congratulated Magyar on his “resounding victory.”

 “We are ready for meetings and joint constructive work for the benefit of both nations, as well as peace, security, and stability in Europe,” Zelenskyy said in a post on X.

Edited by: Louis Oelofse

#Hungary #Orbans #ouster #heralds #thaw #ties">Hungary: Orban’s ouster heralds thaw in EU ties

Hungarian voters turned out in force on Sunday to deliver a landslide victory to pro-European candidate Peter Magyar, who has pledged to turn the country away from its far-right, authoritarian course under Prime Minister Viktor Orban.

Magyar’s center-right Tisza party is set to gain 138 seats in Hungary’s 199-seat parliament, giving it five seats more than the two-thirds needed to push through the reforms the 45-year-old former Orban loyalist promised on the campaign trail.

The victory came despite Orban’s control of Hungary’s public media, gerrymandering of voting districts that required Tisza to gain an estimated 5% more votes than Orban’s Fidesz party and efforts both by European far-right parties and the US to urge voters to retain the government in power.

Turnout reached almost 80%, according to the National Election Office — a record number in any vote in post-communist Hungary.

Viktor Orban, gray-haired man in suit without tie raising both hands, several people behind him, clapping
Orban conceded defeat before supporters in BudapestImage: Attila Kisbenedek/AFP

What has Peter Magyar promised?

In a speech to supporters following his landslide victory, Magyar reiterated campaign promises to rebuild ties with Brussels and NATO, which were badly eroded during Orban’s rule, and vigorously fight the corruption that also flourished under the populist leader.

“With the two-thirds majority allowing us to amend the constitution, we will restore the system of checks and balances,” Magyar said.

“We will join the European Public Prosecutor’s Office and guarantee the democratic functioning of our country. We will never again allow anyone to hold free Hungary captive or to abandon it,” he said.

“Tonight, truth prevailed over lies. Today, we won because Hungarians didn’t ask what their homeland could do for them — they asked what they could do for their homeland. You found the answer. And you followed through,” he said.

Many in the crowd chanted “Europe, Europe” during his speech.

Among other things, Magyar has pledged to carry out reforms that could potentially unlock billions in European Union funding, frozen over concerns in Brussels about Orban’s dismantling of the rule of law and repression of media freedom. He has said he also wants Hungary to adopt the euro as currency.

Some diplomats and analysts say, however, that the new government must first demonstrate concrete results from its reform drive before the release of the funds, which would deliver a much-needed boost to the country’s nearly stagnant economy.

Magyar’s stance on LGBTQ+ rights, which were gravely undermined by Orban, is also unclear, as he said little about the issue during his campaign — a move observers said was aimed at keeping conservative voters on side. He has, however, said that he supports equality of all before the law.

European leaders, Ukraine welcome Magyar victory

Magyar’s win has been hailed by many leaders in the EU and Europe who hope that the change in government will lead not only to internal reforms in Hungary but also a radical change in policy toward Ukraine.

Althought Magyar, like Orban, rejects sending arms to Ukraine and opposes the country’s quick EU integration, he is unlikely to repeat his predecessor’s vituperative rhetoric toward Kyiv.

Orban repeatedly used his veto to frustrate the EU’s efforts to support Kyiv in its war against Russia’s full-scale invasion and was one of the few leaders within the bloc to maintain close ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin. He also refused to end Hungary’s dependence on Russian energy imports, which help finance Russia’s illegal war.

This Moscow-friendly approach was also rejected by many in Hungary, and chants of “Ruszkik haza!” or “Russians go home!” — a phrase used widely during Hungary’s 1956 anti-Soviet revolution — were widely heard in Budapest as Orban’s defeat became clear.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen hailed Magyar’s victory on X in English and Hungarian, saying “Europe’s heart is beating stronger in Hungary tonight” as the results were announced.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz addressed Magyar on social media, saying “”I am looking forward to working with you. “Let’s join forces for a strong, secure and, above all, united Europe.”

French President Emmanuel Macron posted on X that “France welcomes this victory for democratic participation, for the Hungarian people’s commitment to the values of the European Union, and for Hungary in Europe.”  

“Today Europe wins and European values win,” Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez said on X, congratulating Hungarian citizens on “historic elections”. 

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy also congratulated Magyar on his “resounding victory.”

 “We are ready for meetings and joint constructive work for the benefit of both nations, as well as peace, security, and stability in Europe,” Zelenskyy said in a post on X.

Edited by: Louis Oelofse

#Hungary #Orbans #ouster #heralds #thaw #ties

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