One of the best stories out of the 2026 World Cup so far is without question Scotland.

Specifically, their supporters, and how they have captured the hearts and minds of Bostonians from the North End to the Back Bay, and points in between.

But on the pitch, Scotland opened with a win in the group stage over Haiti, and ahead of matches on Friday, June 19, they have a chance to clinch a spot in the Round of 32.

Here are all the current clinching scenarios for Group C at the 2026 World Cup.

Update Friday evening: With Morocco’s 1-0 win over Scotland, Scotland cannot clinch a spot in the knockout round. In addition, Haiti can now be eliminated with a loss to Brazil later tonight.

Update Friday night: Brazil’s 3-0 win over Haiti moves Brazil into first place, dropping Morocco into second place and Scotland into third place. Haiti has now been eliminated from knockout round contention.

What are the Group C standings?

Here is where things stand after Morocco-Scotland, and ahead of Haiti-Brazil:

What are the next Group C matches?

Here is the rest of the Group C schedule, starting with today’s matches.

Morocco 1, Scotland 0
Brazil 3, Haiti 0

Morocco vs. Haiti
Scotland vs. Brazil

What are the current scenarios for Group C?

These are the scenarios for Group C entering play on Friday, June 19.

Scotland is the only team that can clinch a spot in the knockout round today. With a win over Morocco, they are guaranteed a spot in the Round of 32 as one of the top two teams in Group C.

However, they will win the group and book a match between the second-place team in Group F in the Round of 32 with a win over Morocco, coupled with a Brazil loss or tie against Haiti. Scotland and Brazil face each other in the final group match, and with a win over Morocco, Scotland would improve to six points. Should Brazil then lose or tie against Haiti, they could not jump over Scotland in the standings, even with a win in the final match. At most, Brazil would have five points.

On the flip side, Haiti faces elimination on Friday. Should they lose, a corresponding Morocco win over Scotland means Haiti is eliminated.

The good news? Neither team can be eliminated on Friday. But neither can clinch a spot in the knockout round just yet.

Here is how tiebreakers work at the World Cup this year.

If two or more teams in the same group are equal on points following the group stage, a three-step process will be followed to determine tiebreakers.

In the first step, the greatest number of points in the group matches between the tied teams will be applied. Then, the superior goal difference from the group matches between the tied teams will be applied, and finally, the greatest number of goals scored in all group matches between the tied teams will be applied.

If that cannot determine a tiebreaker, then the teams that are still equal will advance to step two. In this stage, the first step is the goal difference in all group matches, then the greatest number of goals in all group matches, and finally the highest team conduct score (relating to yellow and red cards) will be applied.

If that does not break the tie, then the teams still equal on points will be ranked according to the most recent FIFA World Rankings.

That first step, which reads “greatest number of points obtained in the group matches between the teams concerned” according to FIFA, effectively turns into a head-to-head tiebreaker in the case of ties between two teams.

Tiebreakers do not really factor into Group C head of the matches on Friday, June 19. But depending on those results, they could come into play ahead of the final matches in this group.