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Phil Jackson’s ‘40-20’ rule for NBA title contenders has 3 members this season

Phil Jackson’s ‘40-20’ rule for NBA title contenders has 3 members this season

Phil Jackson had a handy rule for determining the NBA’s real championship contenders well before the playoffs began. Jackson is credited as the creator ‘40-20 rule,’ which states a team has to hit 40 wins before 20 losses in the regular season to have a shot at the title. This rule has held up shockingly well throughout time, with 18 of the last 19 champions and 41 of the last 45 champions fitting into the criteria. Only the the 1995 Houston Rockets, 2004 Detroit Pistons, 2006 Miami Heat, and 2021 Milwaukee Bucks have won an NBA championship without winning 40 games before losing 20 games since the league introduced the three-point line for the 1979-1980 season.

With the Boston Celtics’ loss to the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday night, there’s now only three teams that fit Jackson’s ‘40-20 rule’ for this season’s 2026 championship race:

The Pistons went 14-68 two years ago. What’s changed since then? Cade Cunningham started living up to the hype as a former No. 1 overall pick, Jalen Duren developed into an All-Star center, and head coach JB Bickerstaff (who replaced Monty Williams after the 14-win season) whipped the defense into the league’s No. 2 unit behind homegrown players like Isaiah Stewart, Ausar Thompson, and Ron Holland. Detroit made a big jump to 44 wins last year then had the Knicks sweating in a tough first-round series. Right now, the Pistons are on pace to win 61.5 games this season. It’s simply an incredible turnaround.

The Spurs were always destined to be a contender eventually with Victor Wembanyama, but no one thought it would happen this quickly. Wembanyama hasn’t even played a playoff game yet, but that won’t stop the Spurs from being a popular pick to win it all this year. Wembanyama’s defensive impact is levels beyond any other player alive, and he’s a top-10 offensive player, too. San Antonio put a solid supporting cast around him this year by trading for De’Aaron Fox, signing Luke Kornet in free agency, and rejuvenating Harrison Barnes’ career. The Spurs have proven it’s better to be lucky than good by moving up in the lottery three straight years for Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, and Dylan Harper. This organization lit two lottery picks on fire in the 2020s with Josh Primo and Jeremy Sochan, but it didn’t even matter because they landed the best prospect ever and then moved up into the top-4 of the lottery the next two years.

The NBA’s problems — tanking, load management, a typically crappy All-Star Game — get all of the attention, but the playoffs might be the best product in all of sports right now. This last Super Bowl sucked! Meanwhile, last year’s Thunder-Pacers NBA Finals was amazing, and this year’s title race will be as wide open and competitive as it has ever been. The ‘40-20 rule’ hitting 41 out of 45 years is astounding. If the Pistons, Spurs, or Thunder win it all this year, please remember that Phil Jackson was right again.

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Deadspin | Nats, facing Astros, keep waiting for pitching to catch up with hitting  Jul 6, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals designated hitter James Wood (29) is congratulated by teammates after hitting a grand slam during the fifth inning against the Houston Astros at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-Imagn Images   The Washington Nationals hope their pitching can provide help for the offense as they play the middle contest of a three-game series against the visiting Houston Astros on Tuesday.  Washington has given up 11 runs in two consecutive games. After losing 11-5 on Sunday to the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates, the Nationals outslugged the Astros 12-11 on Monday. In winning four of their past six games, the Nationals have scored 45 runs (7.5 per game).  Washington leads the major leagues with 497 runs scored, but its 4.79 team ERA is the fourth worst in the majors. Miles Mikolas allowed the Astros to jump out to a 6-1 lead on Monday, but the Nationals scored 11 consecutive runs and held off a late Houston rally.  “Guys battle every at-bat, it doesn’t really matter what the score is,” Nationals All-Star James Wood said. “We just put together a bunch of good at-bats and we were able to put a bunch of runs up.”  Wood smacked his second grand slam of the season on Monday, this one over the fence after his first was an inside-the-park effort against the New York Mets on May 19.  Houston, which appeared en route to its third straight win, will send out right-hander Tatsuya Imai (5-4, 6.14 ERA) to face left-hander Andrew Alvarez (2-1, 3.05) on Tuesday.  Imai, a 28-year-old Japan native, has struggled during his first season in the United States. In his past four starts, he twice departed before completing two innings. Last time out, he gave up five runs on four hits (two of them home runs) in 1 1/3 innings during an 8-3 loss against the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday.  “It was just the command of his pitches,” manager Joe Espada said after that contest. “Stuff was coming in pretty good, just struggled throwing strikes. That was just what I saw today. Came in, warmed up pretty good, good game plan. Just couldn’t execute those pitches.”   After a one-game stint with Washington in April, Alvarez has been a consistent presence for the team since returning in mid-May. Whether working as a four-plus-inning starter or bulk reliever, Alvarez has given up two runs or fewer in 10 of his 11 appearances.  Against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, he picked up a 10-2 win, tossing 4 2/3 scoreless innings of relief on two hits. Alvarez fanned six and walked one.  In addition to Wood, CJ Abrams and Curtis Mead also homered Monday for the Nationals. Mead went 3-for-5, scored twice and drove in three runs. He has notched multiple hits in three of his past four games. Abrams also finished 3-for-5 with three RBIs.  Wood drew three walks and scored three runs. He leads the majors in runs (81) and is fourth in OPS (.939). His homer traveled 446 feet to center.  “I’ve been using the word impressive too many times already, but I have no other way to describe it,” manager Blake Butera said. “What (Wood) does, it’s fun to be in the dugout watching him do his thing.”  Houston’s Jose Altuve hit a three-run homer. In his career against the Nationals, he is batting .280 (35-for-125) with six doubles, two triples, four home runs, 19 runs scored and 15 RBIs.  Yainer Diaz and Brice Matthews also went deep for the Astros, with Matthews finishing 2-for-4 to snap a nine-game hitless streak. Cam Smith reached base in three of his four plate appearances, and he has hit safely in six of his past seven games.  –Field Level Media    #Deadspin #Nats #facing #Astros #waiting #pitching #catch #hittingJul 6, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals designated hitter James Wood (29) is congratulated by teammates after hitting a grand slam during the fifth inning against the Houston Astros at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-Imagn Images

The Washington Nationals hope their pitching can provide help for the offense as they play the middle contest of a three-game series against the visiting Houston Astros on Tuesday.

Washington has given up 11 runs in two consecutive games. After losing 11-5 on Sunday to the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates, the Nationals outslugged the Astros 12-11 on Monday. In winning four of their past six games, the Nationals have scored 45 runs (7.5 per game).

Washington leads the major leagues with 497 runs scored, but its 4.79 team ERA is the fourth worst in the majors. Miles Mikolas allowed the Astros to jump out to a 6-1 lead on Monday, but the Nationals scored 11 consecutive runs and held off a late Houston rally.

“Guys battle every at-bat, it doesn’t really matter what the score is,” Nationals All-Star James Wood said. “We just put together a bunch of good at-bats and we were able to put a bunch of runs up.”

Wood smacked his second grand slam of the season on Monday, this one over the fence after his first was an inside-the-park effort against the New York Mets on May 19.

Houston, which appeared en route to its third straight win, will send out right-hander Tatsuya Imai (5-4, 6.14 ERA) to face left-hander Andrew Alvarez (2-1, 3.05) on Tuesday.

Imai, a 28-year-old Japan native, has struggled during his first season in the United States. In his past four starts, he twice departed before completing two innings. Last time out, he gave up five runs on four hits (two of them home runs) in 1 1/3 innings during an 8-3 loss against the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday.


“It was just the command of his pitches,” manager Joe Espada said after that contest. “Stuff was coming in pretty good, just struggled throwing strikes. That was just what I saw today. Came in, warmed up pretty good, good game plan. Just couldn’t execute those pitches.”

After a one-game stint with Washington in April, Alvarez has been a consistent presence for the team since returning in mid-May. Whether working as a four-plus-inning starter or bulk reliever, Alvarez has given up two runs or fewer in 10 of his 11 appearances.

Against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, he picked up a 10-2 win, tossing 4 2/3 scoreless innings of relief on two hits. Alvarez fanned six and walked one.

In addition to Wood, CJ Abrams and Curtis Mead also homered Monday for the Nationals. Mead went 3-for-5, scored twice and drove in three runs. He has notched multiple hits in three of his past four games. Abrams also finished 3-for-5 with three RBIs.

Wood drew three walks and scored three runs. He leads the majors in runs (81) and is fourth in OPS (.939). His homer traveled 446 feet to center.

“I’ve been using the word impressive too many times already, but I have no other way to describe it,” manager Blake Butera said. “What (Wood) does, it’s fun to be in the dugout watching him do his thing.”

Houston’s Jose Altuve hit a three-run homer. In his career against the Nationals, he is batting .280 (35-for-125) with six doubles, two triples, four home runs, 19 runs scored and 15 RBIs.

Yainer Diaz and Brice Matthews also went deep for the Astros, with Matthews finishing 2-for-4 to snap a nine-game hitless streak. Cam Smith reached base in three of his four plate appearances, and he has hit safely in six of his past seven games.


–Field Level Media

#Deadspin #Nats #facing #Astros #waiting #pitching #catch #hitting">Deadspin | Nats, facing Astros, keep waiting for pitching to catch up with hitting  Jul 6, 2026; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Nationals designated hitter James Wood (29) is congratulated by teammates after hitting a grand slam during the fifth inning against the Houston Astros at Nationals Park. Mandatory Credit: Brad Mills-Imagn Images   The Washington Nationals hope their pitching can provide help for the offense as they play the middle contest of a three-game series against the visiting Houston Astros on Tuesday.  Washington has given up 11 runs in two consecutive games. After losing 11-5 on Sunday to the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates, the Nationals outslugged the Astros 12-11 on Monday. In winning four of their past six games, the Nationals have scored 45 runs (7.5 per game).  Washington leads the major leagues with 497 runs scored, but its 4.79 team ERA is the fourth worst in the majors. Miles Mikolas allowed the Astros to jump out to a 6-1 lead on Monday, but the Nationals scored 11 consecutive runs and held off a late Houston rally.  “Guys battle every at-bat, it doesn’t really matter what the score is,” Nationals All-Star James Wood said. “We just put together a bunch of good at-bats and we were able to put a bunch of runs up.”  Wood smacked his second grand slam of the season on Monday, this one over the fence after his first was an inside-the-park effort against the New York Mets on May 19.  Houston, which appeared en route to its third straight win, will send out right-hander Tatsuya Imai (5-4, 6.14 ERA) to face left-hander Andrew Alvarez (2-1, 3.05) on Tuesday.  Imai, a 28-year-old Japan native, has struggled during his first season in the United States. In his past four starts, he twice departed before completing two innings. Last time out, he gave up five runs on four hits (two of them home runs) in 1 1/3 innings during an 8-3 loss against the Minnesota Twins on Wednesday.  “It was just the command of his pitches,” manager Joe Espada said after that contest. “Stuff was coming in pretty good, just struggled throwing strikes. That was just what I saw today. Came in, warmed up pretty good, good game plan. Just couldn’t execute those pitches.”   After a one-game stint with Washington in April, Alvarez has been a consistent presence for the team since returning in mid-May. Whether working as a four-plus-inning starter or bulk reliever, Alvarez has given up two runs or fewer in 10 of his 11 appearances.  Against the Boston Red Sox on Wednesday, he picked up a 10-2 win, tossing 4 2/3 scoreless innings of relief on two hits. Alvarez fanned six and walked one.  In addition to Wood, CJ Abrams and Curtis Mead also homered Monday for the Nationals. Mead went 3-for-5, scored twice and drove in three runs. He has notched multiple hits in three of his past four games. Abrams also finished 3-for-5 with three RBIs.  Wood drew three walks and scored three runs. He leads the majors in runs (81) and is fourth in OPS (.939). His homer traveled 446 feet to center.  “I’ve been using the word impressive too many times already, but I have no other way to describe it,” manager Blake Butera said. “What (Wood) does, it’s fun to be in the dugout watching him do his thing.”  Houston’s Jose Altuve hit a three-run homer. In his career against the Nationals, he is batting .280 (35-for-125) with six doubles, two triples, four home runs, 19 runs scored and 15 RBIs.  Yainer Diaz and Brice Matthews also went deep for the Astros, with Matthews finishing 2-for-4 to snap a nine-game hitless streak. Cam Smith reached base in three of his four plate appearances, and he has hit safely in six of his past seven games.  –Field Level Media    #Deadspin #Nats #facing #Astros #waiting #pitching #catch #hitting

U.S. men’s national team striker Folarin Balogun will be available for selection on Monday night in the World Cup round of 16 after a series of chaotic decisions, phone calls with government officials and a failed, final appeal from Belgium.

A knockout stage win over a European side, standout performances from other players and more were lost in the madness over referee Raphael Claus’s decision to show Balogun a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic. We can debate all the optics surrounding the foul, FIFA and its decisions to make similar decisions recently, the U.S. government’s role, the rules of the game, VAR and more… but more importantly what’s now difficult to analyze is Balogun’s first World Cup as the starting USMNT striker.

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - JULY 01: Folarin Balogun #20 and Christian Pulisic #10 of the United States reacts to him receiving a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic #4 of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 01, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images)

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – JULY 01: Folarin Balogun #20 and Christian Pulisic #10 of the United States reacts to him receiving a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic #4 of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 01, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images)
Getty Images

If you’re just getting into soccer now, plan to stick around or putting in your calendar four years from now when to start paying attention again, Balogun and the USMNT striker job have been constant topics for discussion for years now.

Coming out of the 2022 World Cup, the USMNT had a crisis at the position. Ricardo Pepi, Haji Wright and Jesus Ferreira all failed to nail down that role—inserting Christian Pulisic up top wasn’t the answer either. The squad might’ve been succeeding in Concacaf, but the USMNT needed to figure out who would lead the line in four years time on home soil.

Balogun, who was also eligible to represent England and Nigeria, chose the USMNT in May 2023 and immediately all the pressure was put on his shoulders to solve the problem. The 25-year-old originally garnered praise during his time in Arsenal’s academy over in England. The current Premier League champions similarly had a crisis at striker at the time, though he failed to stick with the first team. He spent the second half of the 2021-22 season on loan at Middlesbrough scoring three goals in 18 appearances.

Arsenal sent him back on loan for the 2022-23 campaign where Balogun had a breakout season scoring 22 goals in 39 appearances for Reims, during which he changed his national allegiance. After returning, Balogun was sold to AS Monaco as Arsenal moved on with Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, Eddie Nketiah and Leandro Trossard viewed ahead of him.

Arsenal aside, no one was unseating Harry Kane in the England national team. Balogun’s national switch and club transfer weren’t solely opportunities to prove or establish himself as a player, but undoubtedly a pathway to realizing success.

He made an instant impact in his first call up scoring his first goal in the 2023 Concacaf Nations League final victory over Canada. However, the striker debate restarted a year later after the USMNT crashed out of the 2024 Copa America group stage on home soil—the first time a host nation had done so in the tournament’s history. He scored two goals, but coach Gregg Berhalter was fired afterward and subsequent shoulder and ankle injuries saw him miss 16 games on the road to the World Cup.

To his benefit, Wright and Pepi failed to nail the job down themselves despite success at the club level with Coventry City and PSV Eindhoven in England and the Netherlands respectively. Upon returning, performances against Japan, Ecuador, Australia and Paraguay reaffirmed Balogun’s likelihood to lead the line on home soil. The USMNT looked most adept when he played, either as a goal threat, holding and linking up play or occupying defenders.

The World Cup arrives, he scores two goals against Paraguay. He assists another against Australia and scores the game-winner against Bosnia and Herzegovina hitting LeBron James’s iconic “Silencer” celebration before getting sent off.

The narrative was supposed to be: “The USMNT striker debate is over, and their World Cup might be too.” Instead, we’re left with a mess of a controversy, one way or the other, as Belgium and the U.S. kick off in a couple hours.

If Balogun scores, well should he have really played? If the U.S. get outclassed (which they did in a March friendly losing 2-5) by Belgium, is that justice? What if Weston McKennie, who’s been one of the USMNT’s best players all tournament and who’s had to battle his own adversity at the club and international level—wins a penalty in the final moments of the game and Balogun scores the winner? What if he misses it? Who would’ve taken it if he wasn’t on the pitch?

I’ve certainly celebrated every goal, victory and advancement. I was worried we were doomed when Balogun got sent off because I’ve seen my club (Arsenal) be hard done by even more egregious red cards. I can’t imagine what the outrage would be like if they saw Declan Rice’s second yellow for kicking the ball away against Brighton all things considered for appropriate context…

But I was also putting my hopes in Malik Tillman, Christian Pulisic, Sergiño Dest, Alex Freeman, Antonee Robinson, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Matt Freese, the bench and whoever was going to start up top to make sure Balogun got another game. Instead, he’s going to start and Pandora’s box can no longer be shut.

Fans will celebrate regardless if the U.S. wins, especially since it would be revenge for the 2014 World Cup loss despite Tim Howard’s iconic performance. Though, for some, if not most, the whole debacle will cast a cloud over whatever happens from here on out.

Bring on Monday night’s madness.

#Folarin #Baloguns #red #card #controversy #creates #Monday #Night #Madness #World #Cup">Folarin Balogun’s red card controversy creates Monday Night Madness in World Cup  U.S. men’s national team striker Folarin Balogun will be available for selection on Monday night in the World Cup round of 16 after a series of chaotic decisions, phone calls with government officials and a failed, final appeal from Belgium.A knockout stage win over a European side, standout performances from other players and more were lost in the madness over referee Raphael Claus’s decision to show Balogun a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic. We can debate all the optics surrounding the foul, FIFA and its decisions to make similar decisions recently, the U.S. government’s role, the rules of the game, VAR and more… but more importantly what’s now difficult to analyze is Balogun’s first World Cup as the starting USMNT striker.SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – JULY 01: Folarin Balogun #20 and Christian Pulisic #10 of the United States reacts to him receiving a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic #4 of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 01, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images) Getty ImagesIf you’re just getting into soccer now, plan to stick around or putting in your calendar four years from now when to start paying attention again, Balogun and the USMNT striker job have been constant topics for discussion for years now.Coming out of the 2022 World Cup, the USMNT had a crisis at the position. Ricardo Pepi, Haji Wright and Jesus Ferreira all failed to nail down that role—inserting Christian Pulisic up top wasn’t the answer either. The squad might’ve been succeeding in Concacaf, but the USMNT needed to figure out who would lead the line in four years time on home soil.Balogun, who was also eligible to represent England and Nigeria, chose the USMNT in May 2023 and immediately all the pressure was put on his shoulders to solve the problem. The 25-year-old originally garnered praise during his time in Arsenal’s academy over in England. The current Premier League champions similarly had a crisis at striker at the time, though he failed to stick with the first team. He spent the second half of the 2021-22 season on loan at Middlesbrough scoring three goals in 18 appearances.Arsenal sent him back on loan for the 2022-23 campaign where Balogun had a breakout season scoring 22 goals in 39 appearances for Reims, during which he changed his national allegiance. After returning, Balogun was sold to AS Monaco as Arsenal moved on with Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, Eddie Nketiah and Leandro Trossard viewed ahead of him.Arsenal aside, no one was unseating Harry Kane in the England national team. Balogun’s national switch and club transfer weren’t solely opportunities to prove or establish himself as a player, but undoubtedly a pathway to realizing success.He made an instant impact in his first call up scoring his first goal in the 2023 Concacaf Nations League final victory over Canada. However, the striker debate restarted a year later after the USMNT crashed out of the 2024 Copa America group stage on home soil—the first time a host nation had done so in the tournament’s history. He scored two goals, but coach Gregg Berhalter was fired afterward and subsequent shoulder and ankle injuries saw him miss 16 games on the road to the World Cup.To his benefit, Wright and Pepi failed to nail the job down themselves despite success at the club level with Coventry City and PSV Eindhoven in England and the Netherlands respectively. Upon returning, performances against Japan, Ecuador, Australia and Paraguay reaffirmed Balogun’s likelihood to lead the line on home soil. The USMNT looked most adept when he played, either as a goal threat, holding and linking up play or occupying defenders.The World Cup arrives, he scores two goals against Paraguay. He assists another against Australia and scores the game-winner against Bosnia and Herzegovina hitting LeBron James’s iconic “Silencer” celebration before getting sent off.The narrative was supposed to be: “The USMNT striker debate is over, and their World Cup might be too.” Instead, we’re left with a mess of a controversy, one way or the other, as Belgium and the U.S. kick off in a couple hours.If Balogun scores, well should he have really played? If the U.S. get outclassed (which they did in a March friendly losing 2-5) by Belgium, is that justice? What if Weston McKennie, who’s been one of the USMNT’s best players all tournament and who’s had to battle his own adversity at the club and international level—wins a penalty in the final moments of the game and Balogun scores the winner? What if he misses it? Who would’ve taken it if he wasn’t on the pitch?I’ve certainly celebrated every goal, victory and advancement. I was worried we were doomed when Balogun got sent off because I’ve seen my club (Arsenal) be hard done by even more egregious red cards. I can’t imagine what the outrage would be like if they saw Declan Rice’s second yellow for kicking the ball away against Brighton all things considered for appropriate context…But I was also putting my hopes in Malik Tillman, Christian Pulisic, Sergiño Dest, Alex Freeman, Antonee Robinson, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Matt Freese, the bench and whoever was going to start up top to make sure Balogun got another game. Instead, he’s going to start and Pandora’s box can no longer be shut.Fans will celebrate regardless if the U.S. wins, especially since it would be revenge for the 2014 World Cup loss despite Tim Howard’s iconic performance. Though, for some, if not most, the whole debacle will cast a cloud over whatever happens from here on out.Bring on Monday night’s madness.  #Folarin #Baloguns #red #card #controversy #creates #Monday #Night #Madness #World #Cup

chaotic decisions, phone calls with government officials and a failed, final appeal from Belgium.

A knockout stage win over a European side, standout performances from other players and more were lost in the madness over referee Raphael Claus’s decision to show Balogun a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic. We can debate all the optics surrounding the foul, FIFA and its decisions to make similar decisions recently, the U.S. government’s role, the rules of the game, VAR and more… but more importantly what’s now difficult to analyze is Balogun’s first World Cup as the starting USMNT striker.

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - JULY 01: Folarin Balogun #20 and Christian Pulisic #10 of the United States reacts to him receiving a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic #4 of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 01, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images)

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – JULY 01: Folarin Balogun #20 and Christian Pulisic #10 of the United States reacts to him receiving a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic #4 of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 01, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images)
Getty Images

If you’re just getting into soccer now, plan to stick around or putting in your calendar four years from now when to start paying attention again, Balogun and the USMNT striker job have been constant topics for discussion for years now.

Coming out of the 2022 World Cup, the USMNT had a crisis at the position. Ricardo Pepi, Haji Wright and Jesus Ferreira all failed to nail down that role—inserting Christian Pulisic up top wasn’t the answer either. The squad might’ve been succeeding in Concacaf, but the USMNT needed to figure out who would lead the line in four years time on home soil.

Balogun, who was also eligible to represent England and Nigeria, chose the USMNT in May 2023 and immediately all the pressure was put on his shoulders to solve the problem. The 25-year-old originally garnered praise during his time in Arsenal’s academy over in England. The current Premier League champions similarly had a crisis at striker at the time, though he failed to stick with the first team. He spent the second half of the 2021-22 season on loan at Middlesbrough scoring three goals in 18 appearances.

Arsenal sent him back on loan for the 2022-23 campaign where Balogun had a breakout season scoring 22 goals in 39 appearances for Reims, during which he changed his national allegiance. After returning, Balogun was sold to AS Monaco as Arsenal moved on with Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, Eddie Nketiah and Leandro Trossard viewed ahead of him.

Arsenal aside, no one was unseating Harry Kane in the England national team. Balogun’s national switch and club transfer weren’t solely opportunities to prove or establish himself as a player, but undoubtedly a pathway to realizing success.

He made an instant impact in his first call up scoring his first goal in the 2023 Concacaf Nations League final victory over Canada. However, the striker debate restarted a year later after the USMNT crashed out of the 2024 Copa America group stage on home soil—the first time a host nation had done so in the tournament’s history. He scored two goals, but coach Gregg Berhalter was fired afterward and subsequent shoulder and ankle injuries saw him miss 16 games on the road to the World Cup.

To his benefit, Wright and Pepi failed to nail the job down themselves despite success at the club level with Coventry City and PSV Eindhoven in England and the Netherlands respectively. Upon returning, performances against Japan, Ecuador, Australia and Paraguay reaffirmed Balogun’s likelihood to lead the line on home soil. The USMNT looked most adept when he played, either as a goal threat, holding and linking up play or occupying defenders.

The World Cup arrives, he scores two goals against Paraguay. He assists another against Australia and scores the game-winner against Bosnia and Herzegovina hitting LeBron James’s iconic “Silencer” celebration before getting sent off.

The narrative was supposed to be: “The USMNT striker debate is over, and their World Cup might be too.” Instead, we’re left with a mess of a controversy, one way or the other, as Belgium and the U.S. kick off in a couple hours.

If Balogun scores, well should he have really played? If the U.S. get outclassed (which they did in a March friendly losing 2-5) by Belgium, is that justice? What if Weston McKennie, who’s been one of the USMNT’s best players all tournament and who’s had to battle his own adversity at the club and international level—wins a penalty in the final moments of the game and Balogun scores the winner? What if he misses it? Who would’ve taken it if he wasn’t on the pitch?

I’ve certainly celebrated every goal, victory and advancement. I was worried we were doomed when Balogun got sent off because I’ve seen my club (Arsenal) be hard done by even more egregious red cards. I can’t imagine what the outrage would be like if they saw Declan Rice’s second yellow for kicking the ball away against Brighton all things considered for appropriate context…

But I was also putting my hopes in Malik Tillman, Christian Pulisic, Sergiño Dest, Alex Freeman, Antonee Robinson, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Matt Freese, the bench and whoever was going to start up top to make sure Balogun got another game. Instead, he’s going to start and Pandora’s box can no longer be shut.

Fans will celebrate regardless if the U.S. wins, especially since it would be revenge for the 2014 World Cup loss despite Tim Howard’s iconic performance. Though, for some, if not most, the whole debacle will cast a cloud over whatever happens from here on out.

Bring on Monday night’s madness.

#Folarin #Baloguns #red #card #controversy #creates #Monday #Night #Madness #World #Cup">Folarin Balogun’s red card controversy creates Monday Night Madness in World Cup

U.S. men’s national team striker Folarin Balogun will be available for selection on Monday night in the World Cup round of 16 after a series of chaotic decisions, phone calls with government officials and a failed, final appeal from Belgium.

A knockout stage win over a European side, standout performances from other players and more were lost in the madness over referee Raphael Claus’s decision to show Balogun a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic. We can debate all the optics surrounding the foul, FIFA and its decisions to make similar decisions recently, the U.S. government’s role, the rules of the game, VAR and more… but more importantly what’s now difficult to analyze is Balogun’s first World Cup as the starting USMNT striker.

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA - JULY 01: Folarin Balogun #20 and Christian Pulisic #10 of the United States reacts to him receiving a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic #4 of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 01, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images)

SANTA CLARA, CALIFORNIA – JULY 01: Folarin Balogun #20 and Christian Pulisic #10 of the United States reacts to him receiving a red card for a foul on Tarik Muharemovic #4 of Bosnia and Herzegovina during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 match between USA and Bosnia and Herzegovina at San Francisco Bay Area Stadium on July 01, 2026 in Santa Clara, California. (Photo by Charlotte Wilson/Getty Images)
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If you’re just getting into soccer now, plan to stick around or putting in your calendar four years from now when to start paying attention again, Balogun and the USMNT striker job have been constant topics for discussion for years now.

Coming out of the 2022 World Cup, the USMNT had a crisis at the position. Ricardo Pepi, Haji Wright and Jesus Ferreira all failed to nail down that role—inserting Christian Pulisic up top wasn’t the answer either. The squad might’ve been succeeding in Concacaf, but the USMNT needed to figure out who would lead the line in four years time on home soil.

Balogun, who was also eligible to represent England and Nigeria, chose the USMNT in May 2023 and immediately all the pressure was put on his shoulders to solve the problem. The 25-year-old originally garnered praise during his time in Arsenal’s academy over in England. The current Premier League champions similarly had a crisis at striker at the time, though he failed to stick with the first team. He spent the second half of the 2021-22 season on loan at Middlesbrough scoring three goals in 18 appearances.

Arsenal sent him back on loan for the 2022-23 campaign where Balogun had a breakout season scoring 22 goals in 39 appearances for Reims, during which he changed his national allegiance. After returning, Balogun was sold to AS Monaco as Arsenal moved on with Gabriel Jesus, Kai Havertz, Eddie Nketiah and Leandro Trossard viewed ahead of him.

Arsenal aside, no one was unseating Harry Kane in the England national team. Balogun’s national switch and club transfer weren’t solely opportunities to prove or establish himself as a player, but undoubtedly a pathway to realizing success.

He made an instant impact in his first call up scoring his first goal in the 2023 Concacaf Nations League final victory over Canada. However, the striker debate restarted a year later after the USMNT crashed out of the 2024 Copa America group stage on home soil—the first time a host nation had done so in the tournament’s history. He scored two goals, but coach Gregg Berhalter was fired afterward and subsequent shoulder and ankle injuries saw him miss 16 games on the road to the World Cup.

To his benefit, Wright and Pepi failed to nail the job down themselves despite success at the club level with Coventry City and PSV Eindhoven in England and the Netherlands respectively. Upon returning, performances against Japan, Ecuador, Australia and Paraguay reaffirmed Balogun’s likelihood to lead the line on home soil. The USMNT looked most adept when he played, either as a goal threat, holding and linking up play or occupying defenders.

The World Cup arrives, he scores two goals against Paraguay. He assists another against Australia and scores the game-winner against Bosnia and Herzegovina hitting LeBron James’s iconic “Silencer” celebration before getting sent off.

The narrative was supposed to be: “The USMNT striker debate is over, and their World Cup might be too.” Instead, we’re left with a mess of a controversy, one way or the other, as Belgium and the U.S. kick off in a couple hours.

If Balogun scores, well should he have really played? If the U.S. get outclassed (which they did in a March friendly losing 2-5) by Belgium, is that justice? What if Weston McKennie, who’s been one of the USMNT’s best players all tournament and who’s had to battle his own adversity at the club and international level—wins a penalty in the final moments of the game and Balogun scores the winner? What if he misses it? Who would’ve taken it if he wasn’t on the pitch?

I’ve certainly celebrated every goal, victory and advancement. I was worried we were doomed when Balogun got sent off because I’ve seen my club (Arsenal) be hard done by even more egregious red cards. I can’t imagine what the outrage would be like if they saw Declan Rice’s second yellow for kicking the ball away against Brighton all things considered for appropriate context…

But I was also putting my hopes in Malik Tillman, Christian Pulisic, Sergiño Dest, Alex Freeman, Antonee Robinson, Tyler Adams, Weston McKennie, Chris Richards, Tim Ream, Matt Freese, the bench and whoever was going to start up top to make sure Balogun got another game. Instead, he’s going to start and Pandora’s box can no longer be shut.

Fans will celebrate regardless if the U.S. wins, especially since it would be revenge for the 2014 World Cup loss despite Tim Howard’s iconic performance. Though, for some, if not most, the whole debacle will cast a cloud over whatever happens from here on out.

Bring on Monday night’s madness.

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